TREASURIES-Prices rise as Cyprus problems spur contagion fears

Tue Mar 19, 2013 4:15pm EDT

Related Topics

* Cypriot parliament rejects bank levy
    * Bond rally squeezes shorts, prompts short covering
    * Fed buys $3.14 billion in notes due 2020-2023

    By Luciana Lopez
    NEW YORK, March 19 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasuries prices
climbed on Tuesday as a plan in Cyprus to tax bank accounts to
help pay for a bailout unraveled, creating uncertainty about the
island country's financial future and reviving fears about the
stability of the euro zone.
    Benchmark yields hit a two-week low. The Cypriot parliament
overwhelmingly rejected a proposed levy on bank deposits, a
proposal that had sent investors dumping stocks and scurrying
for safe havens this week.
    The rejection by Cyprus's parliament of the levy brings the
country, one of the euro zone's smaller members, to the brink of
financial collapse. 
    Treasuries are being dogged by contagion fears, said Jason
Rogan, managing director in Treasuries trading at Guggenheim
Partners in New York.
    "There are some people saying it could occur in Italy and
Spain, that is really where the fear is building and why
Treasuries are reacting the way they are," he said.  
    Robert Tipp, chief investment strategist for Prudential
Fixed Income, said, "It's pretty much wide open on the rumor
mill for Cyprus right now.
    "People are at a loss. There are a lot of factors in play,"
he said, calling the situation a "jump ball" that could go in
many possible directions.
    Further fueling the rally in Treasuries, investors who had
positioned for more gains in yields on strengthening U.S.
economic data were caught by surprise and have had to cover
short sales.
    "Cyprus killed any move to higher yields as of right now,"
Rogan said.
    Benchmark 10-year notes were last up 13/32 in
price to yield 1.910 percent, down from 1.96 percent late on
Monday.
     Thirty-year bonds gained 30/32 in price to
yield 3.135 percent, down from 3.18 percent.
    "The outcome in Cyprus will be the main driver of the
markets right now," said Justin Lederer, an interest rate
strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald in New York.
    "There are still many issues out there, and a lot of that's
not solved, and that's what keeps the underlying bid in the safe
havens," he said.
    The news from Cyprus overshadowed the Federal Reserve's
two-day policy meeting that began on Tuesday. Investors are
watching for signs of when Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke might
consider tapering or ending bond purchases as recent data have
pointed to gathering momentum in the world's biggest economy.
    Most Wall Street economists expect the Fed will continue its
bond purchases through 2013 before tapering or ending the
buybacks in 2014.
    Uncertainty in Cyprus, and fears that it may spread into
other countries in the euro zone and harm economic prospects
there, might give the Fed further reason to continue its bond
purchases, traders said.
    The Fed bought $3.14 billion in notes due 2020 and 2023 on
Tuesday as part of its ongoing purchase program.
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