UPDATE 1-African Minerals shares jump on strong output forecast

Wed Apr 10, 2013 5:46am EDT

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(Adds comments from CEO and analysts, details, share movement)

By Brenton Cordeiro

April 10 (Reuters) - Iron ore miner African Minerals Ltd said it expected a surge in output this year as it ramps up production at its flagship Tonkolili mine in Sierra Leone, sending its shares up as much as 15.6 percent.

The miner, which said it remained on track to meet its sustainable output target of 20 million tonnes of ore per year during the second quarter, expects to triple 2013 production to between 15 million and 18 million tonnes at Tonkolili.

Citigroup analyst Michael Flitton, who rates African Minerals as one of his key picks within the sector, said the company's production forecast was better than he expected.

He added that his cash costs-per-tonne expectation might be too high as costs fall with increased volumes.

The company said cash costs were expected to fall to about $30 per tonne by the end of the year. The costs were under $45 per tonne in February, the company said.

"While significant progress was made in 2012, delays in construction and commissioning of the wet process plant and the prolonged and severe 2012 wet season, impacted operations," African Minerals said in a statement.

The company produced 5.1 million tonnes last year. It exported 4.3 million tonnes, below its 5 million tonne target.

African Minerals said it expected to export between 13 million tonnes and 15 million tonnes in 2013.

"While investors were disappointed by a series of delays to ramp up targets in the last year, reaching the end of a bumpy ride should help African Minerals gradually rebuild some investor confidence," Jefferies anlayst Seth Rosenfeld said.

African Minerals shares rose to 259.75 pence in morning trading, making the stock the top percentage gainer on the London Stock Exchange.

"By shipping only fines during the dry seasons and saving low moisture content and easily drainable lump for the wet season, African Minerals should not face the same challenges with ore liquification that arose in 2012," Rosenfeld said.

High moisture content, particularly in fines, makes the transport of iron ore unsafe as it could lead to liquefaction of the mineral, which in some instances, has resulted in the capsizing and sinking of ships.

The miner, which owns the Tonkolili mine that sits on one of Africa's largest iron ore deposits, said adjusted operating loss narrowed to $27.9 million in 2012 from $35.6 million a year earlier.

Iron ore prices .IO62-CNI=SI have rebounded from their 2012 low of $87 per tonne and are now at about $139 as China's steel mills replenish their stocks.

African Minerals, which faced a short-term funding crunch late last year and reworked its finances to meet working capital needs at that time, said it expected to be cashflow positive on a sustainable basis during the second quarter.

Earlier this year, the company established a $100 million facility for general corporate purposes and a separate $250 million facility to provide more working capital flexibility.

"We've got the headroom now ... we did have a tight period last year and that's exactly why we put that financing in place," Chief Executive Keith Calder said. (Editing by Don Sebastian)

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