Rosengren defends US Fed's dual mandate, policy accommodation
BOSTON, April 12
BOSTON, April 12 (Reuters) - A top Federal Reserve official on Friday defended the U.S. central bank's dual mandate of full employment and price stability, and pointed to economic trends that suggest an even more accommodative policy stance might have been needed since the Great Recession.
Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren, redoubling his support of the currently very easy U.S. monetary policies, argued the Fed's inflation record over the past 15-20 years has been as good as or better than central banks in Europe that have only a single price-stability mandate.
In keeping one eye officially on unemployment, the Fed is unusual in a developed world where central bankers are typically tasked solely with maintaining price stability.
Highlighting the records of the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and Sweden's Riksbank, Rosengren went so far as to suggest that central banks that focused only on inflation may want to consider adopting a U.S.-style dual mandate.
In prepared remarks for a Boston Fed conference, he said such a move, for example, would make it easier to publicly explain buying bonds when inflation is running above target, as that trio has done in the wake of the global recession.
"The dual mandate in the United States has been criticized by some for providing an inflationary bias. However, the data show little such evidence," he told the conference on fulfilling the U.S. central bank's mandate of full employment, for which it aims along with a 2-percent inflation target.
"The dual mandate in the United States has provided a clear and transparent way to communicate the need for aggressive monetary policy."
While the Fed has adopted extraordinarily easy policies to lower joblessness and raise inflation in the wake of the 2007-2009 recession, central banks such as the BoE have also launched accommodative bond-buying programs despite higher-than-desired inflation rates.
With a touch of levity, Rosengren said that may only prove that "all of us are dual mandate banks at heart."
The Fed is buying $85 billion in Treasury and mortgage securities per month and has promised to keep interest rates near zero for a long while more to support the stop-start U.S. economic recovery.
The U.S. unemployment rate was 7.6 percent last month, higher than the 5-6 percent range to which Americans are accustomed. On the other side of the mandate, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation is below target at around 1.3 percent.
While policy doves like Rosengren currently hold sway over Chairman Ben Bernanke and the majority of Fed policymakers, minutes from last month's policy meeting suggest the quantitative easing program could draw to a close by year end, earlier than some economists had expected.
Rosengren however said there remains "strong rationale for continuing our highly accommodative monetary policy," and he predicted inflation will remain "well below" the 2-percent target over the next two years, paving the way for more easing.
Doubling down on his stance, he said the fact that the United States has historically had a tighter inflation range and broader unemployment range than that of the euro zone, Britain and Sweden suggests the Fed could have been even more stimulative over the past five years.