PRECIOUS-Gold posts worst quarter on record despite rally Fri.

Fri Jun 28, 2013 3:35pm EDT

* Short-covering, book-squaring seen at quarter's end
    * Bullion posts 23 pct drop in second quarter
    * U.S. Mint American Eagle sales only a fifth of April sales
    * Investors scramble to buy puts to protect downside
    * Coming up: U.S. Markit, ISM manufacturing indexes Monday


    By Frank Tang and Clara Denina 
    NEW YORK/LONDON, June 28 (Reuters) - Gold surged more than 2
percent on Friday on end-of-quarter short-covering, but bullion
still posted its largest quarterly loss in at least 45 years due
to selling amid fears the U.S. Federal Reserve may wind down its
stimulus program.
    Bullion's 2.3 percent rally was particularly impressive on a
day that had little macroeconomic news and no dramatic movements
in other commodities and financial markets. Silver jumped 6
percent for its biggest one-day jump since January 2012.
    After Friday's rally, gold is still 23 percent lower for the
second quarter, its biggest decline since at least 1968, Reuters
data shows. 
    Some investors aggressively bought back their bearish bets
on fears gold could rebound, while others squared their books on
the last trading day of a dismal second quarter after Thursday's
2 percent drop as funds polished portfolios through the practice
of window-dressing.
    "You've seen an over-run on the downside here. I am not
positive that this is the low but we are very close to it," said
John Hummel, AIS Group's chief investment officer, who manages
$400 million in assets including a managed futures fund.
    Spot gold was up 2.2 percent at $1,226.46 an ounce by
2:38 p.m. EDT (1838 GMT), rebounding sharply from a low of
1,180.71 an ounce, which marked the cheapest price since August
2010.
    Friday's rise was the metal's biggest one-day gain since May
20. 
    Gold's relative strength index climbed to 28 on Friday but
still below 30 in an area technical analysts regarded as
oversold.
    Mark Arbeter, chief technical strategist at S&P Capital IQ,
said: "It will take months for gold to trace out a potential
bullish reversal formation because of the severe technical
damage."
    Thursday's slide to below $1,200 an ounce for the first time
in three years has prompted nervous investors to buy put options
to hedge against further losses. 
    U.S. Comex gold futures for August settled up $12.10
at $1,223.70 an ounce, with trading volume at around 310,000
lots, nearly 50 percent its 30-day average, preliminary Reuters
data showed.
    Open interest of Comex gold rose 1 percent to around 400,000
lots, suggesting more participants added bearish positions,
traders said. 
    
    PHYSICAL DEMAND LAGS
    Bullion has taken a beating - losing as much as 15 percent
or about $200 an ounce - since the beginning of last week when
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke laid out a strategy to
roll back the bank's $85 billion monthly bond purchases in a
recovering economy.
    After a spectacular surge in physical demand after a $200
two-day dive in April, dealers and jewellers said consumers
across the world are reluctant to buy even after the latest
price decline. 
    With one day left in the month, sales of the U.S. Mint's
American Eagle gold coins in June stand at only 47,000 ounces, 
a fifth of what was sold in all April, when sales hit a 3-1/2
year high. Silver Eagles sales are down 20 percent.
    Investors, not individuals, are likely to hold the key for
prices in the second half. The world's eight largest gold ETFs
lost 530 tonnes of gold in the first half of 2013, equivalent to
about 10 percent of annual gold production. 
    Among other precious metals, silver rose 5.9 percent
to $19.53, rebounding sharply from a near three-year low at
$18.19 an ounce. Platinum rose 1.7 percent to $1,335.49,
while palladium also gained 1.7 percent to $655.85.
 2:38 PM EDT     LAST/    NET   PCT      LOW    HIGH  CURRENT
                SETTLE   CHNG  CHNG                       VOL
 US Gold AUG   1223.70  12.10   1.0  1179.40 1229.00  282,631
 US Silver JUL  19.451  0.918   5.0   18.185  19.555    3,679
 US Plat JUL   1336.90  11.70   0.9  1295.40 1337.60      274
 US Pall SEP    660.70  10.00   1.5   633.30  663.00    6,592
                                                               
 Gold          1226.46  26.97   2.2  1181.48 1229.00         
 Silver         19.530  1.080   5.9   18.240  19.580
 Platinum      1335.49  21.99   1.7  1296.50 1338.00
 Palladium      655.85  10.85   1.7   637.00  659.72
                                                               
 TOTAL MARKET              VOLUME          30-D ATM VOLATILITY
                CURRENT   30D AVG  250D AVG   CURRENT     CHG
 US Gold        307,106   213,370   182,627     29.56    1.44
 US Silver       82,902    67,530    55,844      39.3    0.42
 US Platinum     15,267    16,423    12,919     25.97   -0.62
 US Palladium     6,688     6,226     5,595
We welcome comments that advance the story through relevant opinion, anecdotes, links and data. If you see a comment that you believe is irrelevant or inappropriate, you can flag it to our editors by using the report abuse links. Views expressed in the comments do not represent those of Reuters. For more information on our comment policy, see http://blogs.reuters.com/fulldisclosure/2010/09/27/toward-a-more-thoughtful-conversation-on-stories/
Comments (1)
HenryAudey101 wrote:
I will buy any gold for $35 per ounce.

Jun 28, 2013 11:12am EDT  --  Report as abuse
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.