WRAPUP 1-Ethanol credits hit refiners, some more than others

Thu Aug 1, 2013 4:41pm EDT

Related Topics

* Refiners that blend more mitigate ethanol credit costs

* Refiners expect narrowed crude discounts to widen

By Kristen Hays

HOUSTON, Aug 1 (Reuters) - Some independent U.S. refiners took surging ethanol credit costs on the chin in the second quarter, further squeezing profits already down because of higher crude oil prices.

Many refiners buy ethanol credits to comply with cleaner-fuel rules in the United States. Prices for the credits surged during the quarter and could mean higher at gas stations.

"It all happened so fast that from my perspective, very little was passed on to the consumer. We can't afford to absorb this expense in the future," PBF Energy Inc Chairman Tom O'Malley said during the company's earnings call on Thursday.

"The consumer will pay for this program," he said, as refiners pass those costs along to the pump.

PBF, which runs three refineries in Delaware, New Jersey and Ohio, saw its net income plunge by 78 percent in the quarter as U.S. and Canadian crude discounts to London's Brent narrowed and ethanol credit costs sharply rose.

The company spent $69 million on the credits in the first half of the year, $37 million of that in the second quarter, and expects to spend more than $200 million on them this year.

Refiners also reported lower profits as U.S. crude discounts to London's Brent sharply narrowed, softening the advantages of running more U.S. oil and fewer imports.

However, refiners say they expect the spread to widen again as U.S. output grows, though not as wide as the more than $23 per barrel seen in February.

Last week, Valero Energy Corp, the nation's largest refiner, said it spent $125 million on the credits during the quarter.

The impact hasn't been that strong across the board. Those who do more of their own ethanol blending into refined fuels - rather than leave it to pipeline companies or other third parties - can help mitigate the costs. Blenders generate a credit, while those who sell unblended fuels must buy so-called Renewable Identification Numbers, or RINs, to meet the mandate.

Marathon Petroleum Corp, the third-largest U.S. refiner with seven plants on the U.S. Gulf Coast and in the Midwest, said it spent $20 million a month during the quarter on the credits. The company is among those which blends much of its own output, but must still buy more.

"We need to buy RINs because we don't generate enough to meet our demand internally," Garry Peiffer, executive vice president of corporate planning, investor and government relations, told Reuters in an interview.

Western Refining Inc, a smaller refiner with two plants in Texas and New Mexico, told investors that the company can cover about 85 percent of its own RIN obligations.

And Exxon Mobil Corp, the second-largest U.S. refiner, said on Thursday that it has enough blending capacity to keep RIN costs minimal.

"We do generate the majority of our credits by blending our biofuels directly," Exxon investor relations executive David Rosenthal told analysts on Thursday.

PBF said the company would try to blend more of its own gasoline in the second half of this year as it builds up a marketing group. PBF also could export more product, as exports don't require RINs.

"Our preference is to supply blended gasoline and/or export," O'Malley said.

Marathon also is upping exports. The company hit an all-time high of exporting 190,000 barrels per day of gasoline and diesel during the quarter, up from 130,000 bpd in the first quarter.

Chief Executive Gary Heminger said that was "pretty much the peak" of how much Marathon can export now, but the company is investing to increase that level even further.

Such investments include a gasoline export tank and diesel loading capacity at docs at its 522,000 bpd refinery in Garyville, Louisiana.

CRUDE COSTS

The spread between U.S. crude benchmark West Texas Intermediate and Brent shrunk to less than $3 a barrel from more than $23 in February. That also affected some major producers with refinery operations.

Heminger said Marathon expects it to widen to about $7 a barrel as market volatility remains. O'Malley said the $20-plus spreads were "insane," and he sees the spread settling at $2 to $3 a barrel.

Analysts also expect the spreads to widen again as extra pipeline capacity comes on stream to move Texas crude to the Gulf Coast. Higher U.S. oil output will also offset crude draws from the U.S. crude futures hub at Cushing, Oklahoma.

"On a short-term basis, refiners are going to see a profitability squeeze from the narrowing spread," said John Williams, investment analyst at T. Rowe Price. "But on a longer time horizon, they will be able to make a little bit of money."

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