Asian shares jump, yields & dollar fall as Fed stuns

SYDNEY Wed Sep 18, 2013 7:06pm EDT

1 of 8. A visitor walks past logos at the Tokyo Stock Exchange in Tokyo June 13, 2013.

Credit: Reuters/Toru Hanai

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian shares and currencies looked set to surge on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve stunned markets and decided not to taper its asset-buying program, sending U.S. bond yields and the dollar into a tailspin.

The prospect of low U.S. rates for longer should be a major relief to emerging markets which have been suffering from capital flight back to the developed world, with shares in Mexico and Brazil already leading the way higher.

The Fed's decision to keep its asset buying at $85 billion a month was seen as a rebuff to the sharp rise in Treasury yields over recent months which was proving a headwind for the housing market and the economy in general.

"This is a major Fed protest against the tightening of financial conditions," said Alan Ruskin, global head of foreign exchange strategy at Deutsche Bank in New York.

"The Fed is very worried that recent tightening of financial conditions is sizable and, probably more important, the back-up in yields is too swift to be able to comfortably conclude that the economy will not slow too much."

The bond market got the message and 10-year Treasury yields tumbled 16 basis points to 2.69 percent. Futures contracts for the Fed funds rate and Eurodollars romped higher right out to 2016 as the market also pushed back the likely timing of the first hike in U.S. rates.

That in turn sent the dollar tumbling across the board. The euro shot up 1.2 percent to $1.3505, having hit its highest in almost eight months.

The dollar dropped a full yen to 98.15, a move that might restrain any rally in Japanese equities. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar shed a full percentage point .DXY.

Equity investors cheered as the Dow Jones industrial average .DJI gained 0.74 percent, while the S&P 500 .SPX added 0.92 percent to a fresh record.

Asian shares traded in the U.S. followed suit. The BNYMellonAsia ADR Index .BKAS rose 2.6 percent to hit highs not seen since June 2008.

All of which should boost hard-hit emerging market (EM) currencies such as the Indonesian rupiah and Indian rupee.

"The surprise from the Fed means that bond yields are going to be lower than we previously expected by the end of the year," said Tony Morriss, head of interest rate research at ANZ.

"This is good news for a renewed search for yield, credit spread performance and easing of some selectively intense pressure in EM markets."

However, it also created a headache for central banks in Australia and New Zealand which would much prefer their currencies to be weaker.

The Australian dollar surged 1.5 percent to $0.9500, an effective tightening in conditions that will pressure the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut rates to compensate.

In contrast the extension of U.S. stimulus was seen as unambiguously favorable for global commodity demand and prices.

Spot gold stormed ahead to $1,361.89, a gain of over $60 on the session, while copper futures jumped 1.5 percent to $7,184.15.

Brent crude climbed $2.55 to $110.74 a barrel, while U.S. crude was up at $108.21 compared to $105.32 early on Wednesday.

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Comments (4)
Taper QE vs higher USA debt ceiling. Which is more important?
Answer: Until the government breaks American business, industry and worker-crushing Wal-Mart into several separate companies like it did to the country’s largest telephone company a few decades ago, the United States deserves the bankruptcy that awaits it if the debt ceiling goes up much further.
There are other countries willing and waiting to fill the gap left when America collapses into bankruptcy: many, many countries who can, believe it or not, fill the economic gap very quickly. History is littered with bankrupt empires that today are as badly off as Greece, Spain, Britain, France and Italy, all of which are faint shadows of what they once were.

Sep 18, 2013 1:57pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
JadeGate wrote:
Fed double speak for QE hasn’t made the slightest bit difference to the sinking US economy, except to add an enormous debt load. Only have to look at Japan’s 20 years of QE to see what it does to an economy (zip + out of control debt). When the next earnings season starts, market will see for itself that QE has been all smoke and mirrors. Bernanke won’t take the rap while he’s it still in the job – just keepin’ the coffin afloat till departure day, then it’s someone else’s problem.

Sep 18, 2013 6:27pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
renlim wrote:
I wonder How Many International Markets Will Bite On The Manic Or Euphoric Bait Of The US Fed To Over Extend Their Markets Beyond There Value?,Due To The Continuum Of The US Fed’s QE Bubble (For It’s Self Preservation Of Being The Global Currency) To A Pressure Point Of Economic Collapse And Implosion Of The Worlds Monetary System That The World Has Never Seen.If International Market Follows The US Fed Pipe Piper Over The Cliff…At Less Every Other Countries Market Would Collapse With The US Monetary System.. And Would Allow The Global Markets To Start From Square One With The US inevitable Collapses Of It’s Markets And Monetary System..Better To Have Everyone Go Down With You Than Have Somebody Rise Above You ( Maintaining Position)..Then The US May Be Able To Structure A Greater Monetary Positioning After A Global Economic Catastrophe That All Other Markets Hopefully Follow..And That Would Be A One Global Monetary System Run By US Fed, At That Point There Would Be No National Sovereignty Left For Countries..A Covert Shadow Coup d’etat And A Global Take Over Without A Shoot Being Fired…Only Time Will Tell If This Is The Scenario Of The US Banking System?

Sep 18, 2013 7:39pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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