Household net worth hits record high in third quarter

WASHINGTON Mon Dec 9, 2013 4:35pm EST

Single family homes for sale are seen in San Marcos, California October 25, 2013. REUTERS/Mike Blake

Single family homes for sale are seen in San Marcos, California October 25, 2013.

Credit: Reuters/Mike Blake

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Household net worth hit a record high in the third quarter as home prices marched up and the value of stocks and mutual funds surged, a hopeful sign for the economic recovery.

The Federal Reserve said on Monday household wealth increased $1.9 trillion to $77.3 trillion in the third quarter, the highest level since records started in 1945. It was the ninth straight quarter of increases.

Though the surge in net worth was encouraging, economists cautioned against reading too much into the rise as it would have benefited only the portion of the population with access to equities and those who owned homes.

"From a consumption perspective, it is actually going to be limited to folks who hold equities that are feeling the biggest share of the increase in net worth," said Jacob Oubina, senior economist at RBC Capital Markets in New York. "Americans still have a long way to go to get to full financial health."

The value of residential real estate rose by $428 billion between July and September, and corporate equities and mutual funds were up by $917 billion over the period, the Fed said.

The U.S. central bank has aggressively used ultra-easy monetary policy to foster a recovery in the nation's housing market following a severe 2007-09 recession. That effort has helped propel U.S. stocks to record highs.

Increases in housing wealth make it easier for families to borrow against the equity in their homes, while overall wealth gains make consumers feel generally more comfortable spending their money. Many economists think consumers spend a few cents of every dollar they gain in wealth.

During the recession, U.S. consumers cut back sharply as they found themselves swamped by heavy debts.

The report suggested efforts to pare those debts may have run their course.

Household debt increased at an annualized 3.0 percent rate in the third quarter to $13.1 trillion. It was the sharpest run up since the first quarter of 2008.

"The deleveraging process looks to be slowing down," said Michael Feroli, an economist at JPMorgan in New York.

Mortgage debt increased at a 0.9 percent rate to $9.4 trillion in the third quarter. The last time it rose was in the first three months of 2009, when it edged up at a 0.1 percent pace.

"It's interesting that household mortgage deleveraging paused in the third quarter," said Dana Saporta, an economist at Credit Suisse in New York. "It seems like the mortgage market might be starting to come out of the persistent deleveraging, maybe starting to normalize a bit."

While household liabilities increased in the third quarter, the debt-to-income ratio fell to 0.99. Household debt peaked at 122 percent of income in early 2009.

"The question is whether this is a positive or negative development for the economy," said Paul Edelstein, a senior economist at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts.

"A lower debt-to-income ratio could make it easier for households to spend. But the declining ratio could also be a sign that households are now less willing to maintain high debt loads after the crisis."

During the third quarter, businesses were sitting on a cash pile of about $1.93 trillion, up from $1.81 trillion in the prior three months.

State and local government debt declined at a 3.9 percent rate in the third quarter, the sharpest drop since 1995. It had increased at a 1.1 percent rate in the second quarter.

Federal government debt increased at a 1.5 percent rate. It was the smallest increase since the second quarter of 2007 and was a slowdown from a 2.5 percent pace in the second quarter, which economists said was a good sign.

(Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; editing by Andrew Hay and Meredith Mazzilli)

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Comments (12)
Juicy wrote:
Could it be another bubble?

Dec 09, 2013 12:15pm EST  --  Report as abuse
brotherkenny4 wrote:
Also, consumer confidence is up while simultaneously retailers are struggling. So, some seem to be getting the message. Spend less on frivolous and stupid stuff and you’ll gain both equity and confidence. Work, save and live, and don’t believe the TV, newpapers or internet without corroboration. All these guys sell adds, which makes them prostitutes.

Check the sponsored links. My favorite is the “Billionaires are dumping stocks, economic ruin is near”. Of course if billionaires were dumping stocks then the stock market would have crashed. And while there will be a correction when the fed stop bond purchases, it won’t really be a crash or economic ruin because stocks simply do not represent our economy, and the wealth of wealthy investors is completely disconnected from the real world.

Dec 09, 2013 12:48pm EST  --  Report as abuse
Oldbizeditor wrote:
OK, so now tell us what this really means. How many more households are there now than five years ago? What’s the distribution of this new wealth? Seems like if it’s due to housing and stock prices, this is yet another sign of increases at the top.
Simply saying there is more total net worth provides little insight into the state of the economy or household finances.

Dec 09, 2013 12:52pm EST  --  Report as abuse
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