CANADA FX DEBT-C$ weakens as caution offsets current account data

Thu Feb 27, 2014 4:24pm EST

* Canadian dollar at C$1.1136 or 89.80 U.S. cents
    * Bond prices higher across the maturity curve


    By Leah Schnurr
    TORONTO, Feb 27 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar was slightly
weaker against the greenback on Thursday as caution over
political tensions in Ukraine offset data showing the domestic
current account deficit widened less than expected.
    Investors were also positioning ahead of a report on
Canada's economic growth due on Friday. Fourth-quarter gross
domestic product is expected to show growth slipped to a 2.5
percent annualized rate, though economists expect some of the
quarter may have been affected by harsh winter weather. 
    Markets were wary after armed men seized regional government
headquarters and parliament in Ukraine's Crimea and raised the
Russian flag. 
    Crimea, the only Ukrainian region with an ethnic Russian
majority, is the last big bastion of opposition to the new
leadership in Ukraine, after the ouster of the country's
president last weekend.
    The developments put investors on edge and gave the loonie a
negative tone as it was hurt by the lack of risk appetite.
    "If you look at the sentiment in the market, it's trading in
a bit of a risk-off mood, so there's some scope for the Canadian
dollar to get dragged along with that," said Mazen Issa, macro
strategist at TD Securities in Toronto.
    The currency came off its session lows after data showed
Canada's current account deficit was not as large in the fourth
quarter as analysts had expected, while previous deficits were
revised lower.
    Still, the gap of $16.01 billion ($14.42 billion) in the
final months of last year was the fourth-largest ever, and the
Canadian dollar remained in a tight range. 
    "That narrative of weakness in net exports still persists,
so that doesn't really change the implications for
fourth-quarter gross domestic product tomorrow. We're still
expecting to see a net export drag in tomorrow's report," said
Issa.
    The Canadian dollar ended the North American
session at C$1.1136 to the greenback, or 89.80 U.S. cents, a
touch weaker than Wednesday's close of C$1.1128, or 89.86 U.S.
cents.
    "The loonie is pretty much settled into its recent trading
range, it seems pretty comfortable where it is," said Rahim
Madhavji, president at KnightsbridgeFX.com in Toronto.
    The currency is likely to be in a short-term range of C$1.10
to C$1.13, said Madhavji.
    "I really don't see it breaking out of that, regardless of
what happens with the economic data that comes tomorrow, unless
it is a sharp surprise somewhere. We'll need to see a couple
months of data before we start to form a trend."
    In testimony before U.S. lawmakers, Federal Reserve Chair
Janet Yellen said the weather appears to be behind recent signs
of weakness in the U.S. economy, suggesting the central bank was
poised to continue reducing its stimulus program.
 
    Canadian government bond prices were up across the maturity
curve, with the two-year up half 3 Canadian cents to
yield 0.989 percent and the benchmark 10-year up 35
Canadian cents to yield 2.408 percent.
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