UPDATE 2-IMF warns on low inflation, calls on ECB to act

Wed Apr 2, 2014 2:20pm EDT

Related Topics

* IMF chief Lagarde warns of "low-growth trap"

* Global growth to rise above 3 percent, still below trend

* Geopolitics, volatile markets also risks to recovery (Adds comments on Ukraine, explanation of low inflation; recasts first paragraph)

By Anna Yukhananov

WASHINGTON, April 2 (Reuters) - The head of the International Monetary Fund on Wednesday called on the European Central Bank to ease monetary policy to move prices higher, saying "low-flation" in advanced economies risked undercutting an already sluggish global recovery.

IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde said the world's economy should pick up pace to grow more than 3 percent this year and next. But she said risks, including low inflation in the euro zone, geopolitical tension in places like Ukraine, and market volatility, could prompt a prolonged period of sluggish growth.

ECB policymakers meet on Thursday and are not expected to announce any new measures to fight weakness in the euro zone economy, despite pressure to act to reverse a drop in the region's rate of inflation.

"More monetary easing, including through unconventional measures, is needed in the euro area," Lagarde said in a speech that outlined the Fund's policy recommendations ahead of its spring meetings in Washington next week.

The IMF has argued that highly indebted euro zone countries face a harder task to reduce debts, regain competitiveness and tackle high unemployment with inflation well below the ECB's target of close to 2 percent.

Annual price growth in the currency bloc ticked down to 0.5 percent in March, its lowest since 2009, and its sixth month in what ECB President Mario Draghi has called "the danger zone" below 1 percent.

Lagarde also urged the Japanese central bank to keep trying to stimulate that country's economy.

"In 2013, global growth was about 3 percent; we project modest improvements in 2014 and 2015, although still remaining below past trends," Lagarde said at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.

"The risk is that without sufficient policy ambition, the world could fall into a medium-term low-growth trap," she said.

She warned that geopolitical tensions could hit growth if they got out of hand. Russia has been in a stand-off with Western nations over its annexation of the Crimea region, prompting economic sanctions from the United States and the European Union.

"The situation in Ukraine is one which, if not well managed, could have broader spillover implications," Lagarde said

"Now our hope for the (IMF) program for Ukraine to work ... is that geopolitical tensions go away, come down, so that that country and its people can actually recover," she said.

The IMF last week announced a $14 billion to $18 billion credit line for Kiev in exchange for tough economic reforms that would unlock further aid from the EU, United States and other lenders.

Spillovers are also a risk from the U.S. Federal Reserve's gradual winding down of its massive monetary easing program, which has hit emerging markets as investors bet on higher U.S. interest rates.

Lagarde reiterated the IMF's calls for greater cooperation among monetary policymakers to limit the impact of the Fed tapering of its monthly bond purchases, as the problem could also "spill back" to the United States. (Additional reporting by Jason Lange; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama and Paul Simao and Andrea Ricci)

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Comments (2)
JohnPombrio wrote:
With all the foreign currency reserves 10′s of trillions of dollars floating around looking for safe returns in government funds, it will be impossible for inflation to occur. Even the US $5 trillion in foreign debt is small in comparison to what is out there. Don’t look for inflation or higher interest rates anytime soon.

Apr 02, 2014 3:01pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
Sedonars wrote:
WOW! Everything she just pointed out in this article indicates that the world economy is still on “Life Support”. Ms Lagarde is calling for massive stimulation of Wall Street and other 1% streets in order to keep the system from falling apart again! She intends to pay for all this by “structural reforms” in the system; that means every job holder will now see reduced compensation and fewer benefits in a race to the bottom for workers around the world. All of this is being done so that the 1% can keep their Casino like financial system alive for their benefit only. What a greedy, inhumane, out of control train wreck of Capitalism we are engaged in now. Pathetic!

Apr 02, 2014 3:13pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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