Italian company results help propel European shares to 6-yr high

Mon May 12, 2014 10:14am EDT

* FTSEurofirst 300 up 0.7 pct, sets 6-year high

* Euro STOXX 50 up 0.8 pct

* Italy leads rally as strong results fuel recovery hopes

* Sky Deutschland, Alstom boosted by M&A activity

By Francesco Canepa

LONDON, May 12 (Reuters) - European shares scaled six-year highs on Monday, led by Italian companies after strong results from the country's biggest bank, UniCredit, among other firms.

Sentiment was further underpinned by fresh mergers & acquisition activity and renewed speculation about monetary stimulus from the European Central Bank following dovish comments from Austria's central banker, Ewald Nowotny.

Italy's FTSE MIB index rose 1.5 percent to outpace all major European indexes as estimate-beating results from lenders UniCredit, Banca Popolare di Milano and also from motorway and airport operator Atlantia reinforced optimism about a recovery in the euro zone's third largest economy.

Italian shares, along with their peers in Spain, Portugal and Greece, have outperformed indexes in core European countries such as Germany and France over the past year, boosted by improving economic data.

"Usually you'd expect corporate profits to come through roughly six months after the economic data so that's not surprising for us," said Matthias Thiel, market strategist at Hamburg-based M.M. Warburg, which manages assets worth 50 million euros and is bullish on southern European assets.

"The recovery story is playing out as expected," he said.

UniCredit returned to profit in the first quarter of 2014 as bad loans fell for the first time since 2008, while Atlantia's quarterly results showed a rebound in traffic at the highway and airport group.

Both stocks were among top risers on the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300's index, which was up 0.7 percent at 1,364.32 at 1344 GMT, having hit a high not seen since May 2008 at 1,364.75 points earlier in the session.

The euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 index was up 0.8 percent at 3,210.58 points

Comments from the ECB's Nowotny also underpinned markets.

The Austrian said a rate cut alone would probably not be enough to combat low inflation in the euro zone and that he would favour a "package" of measures, which traders speculated might include an asset-buying programme.

Miners were the best-performing sector across Europe, rising 2.6 percent after JPMorgan upgraded them to "overweight" from "underweight", saying it was shifting funds into the neglected mining sector from autos, which have seen strong share price gains.

In the last 12 months, miners have risen about 5 percent, contrasting with a near 40 percent gain for autos.

M&A BOOST

A burst of dealmaking and the possibility of more stimulus steps from the ECB in June have bolstered European equities in recent weeks.

On Monday, France's Alstom rallied after Germany said it would support a takeover by Siemens.

Alstom - which is reviewing a bid by U.S. giant General Electric for its energy businesses - climbed 2.9 percent after German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Saturday her government would support a tie-up between Siemens and Alstom if the companies decided it would make sense.

Further fuelling M&A activity, Britain's largest pay-TV company BSkyB said it was in talks to buy Sky Deutschland and Sky Italia, a 10 billion euro deal that would realise Rupert Murdoch's long-held ambition to combine his European TV interests in a single business.

Shares in Sky Deutschland rose nearly 10 percent while BSkyB fell 2.1 percent.

Despite the rebound in corporate dealmaking, lofty valuations mean some analysts are taking a bearish short-term view on markets.

The STOXX Europe 600 trades on a 12-month forward price/earnings ratio of about 14 times, against its 10-year average of around 12 times, Thomson Reuters Datastream shows.

"I think on a one- to two-month view, I'd be reasonably cautious now. The M&A might continue to bail us out a bit, but I think on the other fundamentals it's looking a little bit toppy," Peel Hunt equity strategist Ian Williams said.

Europe bourses in 2014: link.reuters.com/pap87v

Asset performance in 2014: link.reuters.com/gap87v

Today's European research round-up (Additional reporting by Tricia Wright and Blaise Robinson; Editing by Gareth Jones)

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