Weak investment, trade drive second quarter contraction in German economy

BERLIN Mon Sep 1, 2014 6:08am EDT

Newly manufactured Ford Fiesta cars are seen on the deck of the car transport ship ''Tossa'' as it travels along the Rhine, from a Ford plant in the German city of Cologne to the Dutch seaport of Vlissingen, close to Nimwegen in the Netherlands September 13, 2013.  REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay

Newly manufactured Ford Fiesta cars are seen on the deck of the car transport ship ''Tossa'' as it travels along the Rhine, from a Ford plant in the German city of Cologne to the Dutch seaport of Vlissingen, close to Nimwegen in the Netherlands September 13, 2013.

Credit: Reuters/Wolfgang Rattay

Related Topics

BERLIN (Reuters) - Weak investment spending and slow trade led Germany to contract for the first time in over a year in the second quarter, data showed, suggesting Europe's largest economy is running out of steam just as the impact of the crisis in Ukraine starts to bite.

Germany's Federal Statistics Office confirmed on Monday an earlier estimate showing a 0.2 percent contraction in seasonally-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) on the quarter.

The disappointing performance of an economy once considered the last bastion of growth in a sickly euro zone echoed the region's second and third largest economies, France and Italy, which respectively stagnated and fell back into recession over the same period.

"The second-quarter contraction was a reaction to the strong first quarter so I think we'll return to moderate positive growth in the third ... but there's no shortage of uncertainty factors at the moment," said Thilo Heidrich, an economist at Postbank, referring to the standoff between Moscow and the West over Ukraine and the crisis in Iraq.

Gross capital investment in Germany fell by 2.3 percent and construction investment dropped by 4.2 percent, in part due to a mild winter which boosted building activity in the first quarter.

Heidrich said a 0.4 percent drop in plant and equipment spending could be partly due to the Ukraine crisis and sanctions against Russia.

Foreign trade, traditionally the driver of German economic growth, subtracted 0.2 percentage points from growth while private consumption and inventories made a positive contribution.

"The domestic economy will be responsible for growth this year and it's possible that exports will suffer a bit more due to the Ukraine crisis and trade sanctions," said Heidrich.

The finance ministry has partly blamed the second-quarter contraction on the Ukraine crisis and sanctions against Russia.

Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel has said GDP will probably increase in the remainder of 2014.[ID:nL5N0QR3L4]

But some economists expect the second-quarter weakness to carry through into the third quarter, with the Ifo institute estimating growth will be "close to zero" in the third quarter while the DIW institute has warned of the danger of recession.

Recent data has been mixed, with business and investor morale souring while industrial orders have tumbled and joblessness has risen. Exports and output have, however, risen modestly.

(Reporting by Michelle Martin; Editing by Noah Barkin and John Stonestreet)

FILED UNDER:

Recommended Newsletters

Reuters U.S. Top News
A quick-fix on the day's news published with Reuters videos and award-winning news photography and delivered at your choice of one of four times during the day.
Reuters Deals Today
The latest Reuters articles on M&A, IPOs, private equity, hedge funds and regulatory updates delivered to your inbox each day.
Reuters Technology Report
Your daily briefing on the latest tech developments from around the world from Reuters expert tech correspondents.