To delay or not: Timing on immigration reform holds risks for Obama

WASHINGTON Wed Sep 3, 2014 2:47pm EDT

A U.S. flag blows in the wind in the backyard of a home facing the border fence at the United States-Mexico border outside of Brownsville, Texas, August 5, 2014.  REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton

A U.S. flag blows in the wind in the backyard of a home facing the border fence at the United States-Mexico border outside of Brownsville, Texas, August 5, 2014.

Credit: Reuters/Shannon Stapleton

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WASHINGTON (Reuters) - When President Barack Obama stepped into the White House Rose Garden in June to announce he would single-handedly reform U.S. immigration policy, he startled advocates by announcing a firm, end-of-summer deadline for executive action.

"If Congress will not do their job, at least we can do ours," he declared. "I expect ... recommendations before the end of summer and I intend to adopt those recommendations without further delay."

Fast forward nine weeks and both the deadline and the wisdom of setting it are in doubt. Obama's Democrats risk losing control of the U.S. Senate in Nov. 4 elections and, for many struggling incumbents, a policy shift on a hot-button issue in the middle of their campaigns looks unwelcome.

So the White House, having touted its deadline for weeks, has turned noncommittal on the timing of an immigration announcement, creating the impression of disarray on a top domestic policy priority.

"There is the chance that it could be before the end of the summer, there is the chance that it could be after the summer," spokesman Josh Earnest said on Tuesday.

Some 11 million immigrants, most of them Hispanics, live in the United States illegally. Their status is a controversial topic for voters. A Reuters/Ipsos poll last month found that 70 percent of Americans believed the immigrants threatened the country's beliefs and 63 percent that they burdened the economy.

Republicans, who already control the House of Representatives, have seized on the issue to bash vulnerable Democratic senators. In New Hampshire the issue helped Republican Scott Brown erode the lead of Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen.

This has left immigration rights advocates and others close to the White House wondering whether the administration thought through the politics at all.

STAYING HOME

White House officials calculated earlier this summer that immigration would not play a major role in the elections, except perhaps for the sizable Hispanic population in Colorado, where executive action could boost Democratic Senator Mark Udall.

Now other Democratic candidates in tough Senate races are asking the White House to delay.

But immigration rights advocates, wary of what they see as another broken-promise-in-the-making, say waiting carries risks as well. They warn that Hispanics could stay away from the polls in protest if Obama postpones a decision.

"If he doesn't follow through on his promise to take action by the end of the summer, it will make it harder for the people who are knocking on doors in the Latino community to mobilize voters," said Frank Sharry, executive director of the America's Voice advocacy group.

Lorella Praeli, director of advocacy and policy at immigrant youth organization United We Dream, said civil disobedience and an aggressive media strategy with Latinos would increase in the event of a delay.

PROS AND CONS

Obama must weigh the drawbacks of losing support in Latino-heavy states such as Colorado against the risk of energizing right-leaning Republican voters in states such as Alaska, North Carolina, Louisiana, Kentucky, and New Hampshire.

A surge of some 60,000 children crossing the border from Central America to the United States has complicated the debate. Obama pledged to send the migrant children home, an approach that advocacy groups see as overly harsh.

He sought to soothe anger over that policy with his promise to use executive measures to ease deportations of undocumented immigrants who have already lived in the United States a long time. Among the reforms his administration is considering are granting work permits and temporary relief from deportation to as many as five million undocumented immigrants.

Other issues could factor into a delay of that decision.

A House Democratic aide said Obama likely was "tamping down expectations" of an imminent announcement to ease tensions that might stand in the way of Congress passing a spending bill in September to keep the government running.

Republican efforts to undermine Obama's signature healthcare initiative led to a 16-day shutdown of the federal government last year.

All of this raises the question of why Obama set a deadline in the first place.

"I wish I knew," said Angela Kelley, an immigration specialist at the liberal-leaning Center for American Progress, adding the White House would have to explain its thinking if it decided on a delay. "I don't know what their plan is, but they sure better have one."

(Additional reporting by Richard Cowan and Roberta Rampton; Editing by Howard Goller)

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Comments (17)
Pete_Murphy wrote:
As an independent, I voted for Obama in the first election and have supported my democratic senators. (I have also supported my Republican congressman.) But the president’s refusal to enforce our immigration laws (supported by his cronies in the senate) has me so angry that I’ll be voting a straight Republican ticket in November, regardless of what happens from this point on. Democrats can’t be trusted to enforce immigration laws.

Sep 03, 2014 3:31pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
dd606 wrote:
Honestly, I don’t think any of them are willing to enforce strict laws at this point. Unfortunately, we’re past the tipping point.

Sep 03, 2014 3:52pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
morbas wrote:
Sad thing, election years are…The only time the people have any control of representation is through the ballot. My dear congressional representative Foxx is so immersed in Kochs funding, she has $1.5Million left over from 2012, add another $2.5Million at present. No choice but to vote straight DEM in this RED NC. We need to apply a Gerrymander Antidote eliminating districting in the Lower House’s (FED and STATE) so we can vote for changes, not competitively against the others.
Honorable POTUS Obama, just do reform like you said you would.
morbas(i)

Sep 03, 2014 4:13pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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