UPDATE 3-Ryanair close to placing new $10 bln Boeing order

Fri Sep 5, 2014 11:50am EDT

* Close to buying at least 100 high-capacity MAX - sources

* Aircraft to carry just under 200 passengers

* Planemakers add seats to appeal to ultra-low cost carriers (Adds analyst quotes, details)

By Tim Hepher and Conor Humphries

PARIS/DUBLIN, Sept 5 (Reuters) - Irish low-cost airline Ryanair is in advanced talks to buy at least 100 Boeing 737 MAX jetliners with extra seats in a potential $10 billion deal that could be finalised in days or weeks, two people familiar with the matter said.

The move comes two months after Boeing said it was studying plans to offer more seating in its upcoming 737 MAX by introducing a version with 200 seats, 11 more than the current maximum.

A deal for about 100 of those aircraft could be reached as early as the middle of September, one of the people said, asking not to be identified because the talks are confidential.

"Ryanair does not comment upon, or engage in, rumour or speculation," a spokesman for the airline said. A European spokesman for Boeing Co declined to comment.

A new order from Europe's biggest no-frills carrier would mark a new phase in efforts by Boeing and European rival Airbus to appeal to ultra-low cost carriers.

Both manufacturers are adding seats to drive down the operating costs per seat, the key driver of aircraft economics.

"The 200-seat version is almost tailor made for Ryanair," said Stephen Furlong, an analyst with Davy Stockbrokers in Dublin. "In addition to the fuel efficiency, the extra seats should give them an extra 5 percent unit cost savings."

Keeping up demand for the most popular types of airliner has become the Holy Grail for both planemakers as they embark on ambitious production plans, with higher output volumes playing an important role in cutting costs and boosting margins.

In June, Airbus said it would increase the maximum number of seats on its revamped A320neo to 189, matching the capacity limit on the main variant of the Boeing 737 MAX and providing fuel savings of 3.5 percent per seat.

Weeks later, Boeing leapfrogged its European rival by announcing plans to offer a 200-seat version of the 737-8 MAX, which Boeing Commercial Airplanes Chief Executive Ray Conner said would offer unspecified cost savings of 5 percent per seat.

One industry source said Ryanair was expected to place a large order for the modified version of the 737-8 MAX and that this could happen "soon".

Another source said Ryanair had been shopping for at least 100 and possibly as many as 150 of the higher-capacity aircraft.

Ryanair shares were up 0.8 percent at 1525 GMT, compared with a fall of 0.4 percent on the Thomson Reuters Europe Airlines Index.

SEAT COUNT

Ryanair Chief Executive Michael O'Leary, who has developed a reputation for securing bargain aircraft, would be able to take advantage of low interest rates and Boeing's eagerness to have a large launch customer for its latest variant of the MAX.

He has long lobbied aircraft makers to produce a plane with just under 200 seats to maximize the ratio of passengers to cabin crew. Airlines must provide one flight attendant for every 50 passengers.

O'Leary offered at one point to buy planes from Chinese manufacturer Comac if they filled this requirement.

Ryanair last year signed a $15.6 billion contract to buy 175 Boeing 737-800 jets, the largest single order ever placed by a European airline with Boeing, with the first of the aircraft due for delivery later this month. It later upped the order to 180.

It needs the planes to boost its traffic to 120 million passengers per year by 2022 from just over 80 million today.

In July, O'Leary welcomed the decision to study a higher-density version of the 737 MAX and said he would maintain the order for current-generation 737.

"We will take those aircraft as is, but for the next round of aircraft, (for the period) 2019 to 2025, we are looking at the 189-seat Airbus or what I hope will be a 197- to 198-seat 737," he was quoted as saying by Flightglobal.

Ryanair has had somewhat bumpy relations with Airbus, but discussed the possibility of breaking away from Boeing as an exclusive supplier as it continues to expand, according to industry sources. However, Airbus was seen as unwilling to match Boeing's prices for the airline.

"Ryanair are a massive customer for Boeing, so they will clearly treat them well," said Davy analyst Stephen Furlong. "If you were Boeing and you lost Ryanair, that would be huge. There is dependence, but its mutual." (Editing by Mark Potter and David Clarke)

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