OPEC trims 2008 global oil demand forecast

Thu May 15, 2008 7:06am EDT
 
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LONDON (Reuters) - OPEC on Thursday trimmed its forecast for global growth in oil demand in 2008, the latest sign that record-high oil prices are putting the brakes on consumption.

World oil demand will rise by 1.16 million barrels per day (bpd) this year led by Asia, the Middle East and Latin America, 40,000 bpd less than the previous forecast, OPEC said in its Monthly Oil Market for May.

The report by OPEC's economists underlines the group's view that factors beyond oil supply and demand are driving oil prices to all-time highs. Crude oil hit a record high of $126.98 a barrel on Tuesday.

"Oil demand growth is expected to experience the typical seasonal low consumption in the second quarter," the report said.

"This year's summer driving season is not likely to show its normal annual growth due to the anticipated weaker gasoline demand in the U.S."

Oil's climb has brought more calls from industrialized countries, such as the United States, for OPEC to increase oil output.

But the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries says factors like the weakness of the U.S. dollar, speculative trading and political tension are lifting prices, not a lack of oil.

Thursday's report dusted off another factor OPEC has frequently cited for oil's rally, a lack of capacity at oil refineries and its impact on the crude oil market.

The rising premium of higher-quality crudes to lower-quality grades reflected a shortage of refineries able to make light products, such as gasoline, from lower-quality crude, OPEC said.  Continued...

 
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