JOHANNESBURG, July 31 East African currencies
are likely to hold largely steady against the dollar next week,
but the Nigerian naira could gain as energy companies offload
dollars and foreign investors buy local debt.
At 0931 GMT on Thursday, commercial banks quoted the Kenyan
shilling at 87.70/90 to the dollar, compared with a close
of 87.80/90 a week ago.
"It might appreciate a bit once the month-end demand (for
dollars) is over, but I think the range will still be 87.50 to
88.00," African Banking Corporation trader Julius Kiriinya said.
Traders expected the shilling to come under pressure in
coming months due to lower dollar receipts from the tourism
sector after a series of militant attacks prompted travel
warnings by some Western governments.
The Ugandan shilling is expected to find support from
the central bank intervening to mop up excess liquidity in the
interbank market, while dollar demand from companies is likely
to be sluggish.
At 1133 GMT the shilling was at 2,620/2,630, stronger than
last Thursday's close of 2,627/2,637.
"There was a lot of liquidity in the interbank, possibly
from government releases but we had a mop-up today," said Sage
Daniel Muganza, a trader at Centenary Bank.
The Bank of Uganda absorbed 200 billion Ugandan shillings
($76 million) in total through a repo sale.
Crane Bank dealer Shahzad Kamaluddin said the shilling would
likely oscillate between 2,620 and 2,630 over the next week.
Nigeria's naira is likely to trend firmer next week as major
energy companies operating in Africa's top crude exporter
offload dollars and offshore investors buy local debt, market
The naira has been steady within a 161.50-161.90
range over the past fortnight, propped up by demand from energy
firms needing to make domestic month-end payments.
The Nigerian unit of ExxonMobil sold $50 million to
some lenders on Thursday.
The local currency traded at 161.90/dollar at 1359 GMT,
little changed from Wednesday's close at 161.85.
"We are expecting more dollar flows from some oil companies
that are yet to come to the market, including the NNPC," one
dealer said, referring to the state-owned Nigerian National
(Reporting by George Obulutsa, Elias Biryabarema; and Oludare
Mayowa; Editing by Stella Mapenzauswa and Susan Fenton)