MUMBAI Dec 18 Asia's top companies were less
upbeat about their business outlook in the last quarter of the
year, compared to the third quarter, with lingering concerns
over the global economy and rising costs among the major issues
weighing down sentiment, the latest ThomsonReuters/INSEAD Asia
Business Sentiment Survey published on Wednesday showed.
The Thomson Reuters/INSEAD Asia Business Sentiment Index
declined 4 points to 62 in December, falling for the
second consecutive quarter. The index had dropped to 66 in
September, a fall of 5 points from the June survey.
A reading above 50 indicates an overall positive outlook.
AUSTRALIA: SLIGHTLY BETTER (INDEX AT 80 vs 79 IN Q3)
Business confidence among companies in Australia improved
for the sixth consecutive quarter, pushing the country's
sentiment index to its highest level since the last quarter of
2010. More participants said orders had increased and employment
levels were either the same or improved.
Of the 10 respondents, four companies were neutral while six
were positive about the business outlook. In the previous
quarter, of the seven respondents, three were neutral and four
Two-thirds of the participants said world economic
uncertainty was their top worry, while the rest considered
rising costs as their main concern. Half the participants
confirmed orders have increased, a big shift from just 1-of-7
participants in the September survey.
Twenty percent of companies surveyed also reported
improvement in employment levels, while the rest said levels
remained the same.
CHINA: SHARP IMPROVEMENT (INDEX AT 75 VS 50 IN Q3)
Corporate sentiment in China improved sharply after
remaining steady for two quarters, with half of the 10
respondents expecting an improvement in business outlook, while
the others see it remaining the same.
Five of the participants see global economic uncertainty as
their primary concern, while three believe they will be affected
most by rising costs. Significantly, two companies listed other
risks such as regulatory uncertainty or political instability as
their main worry.
Six respondents saw an increase in orders, compared to three
in the previous quarter, while more companies said employment
levels remained at the same level.
INDIA: SENTIMENT SURGES (INDEX AT 82 VS 67 IN Q3)
Companies in India were the most positive with a reading of
82, a sharp increase from 67 in the previous quarter - their
best performance in a year. This was also reflected in the
number of participants nearly trebling to 17, which included
Tata Consultancy Services, Reliance Industries
and Larsen & Toubro.
With high inflation continuing to plague the Indian economy,
a third of the participants cited rising costs as their primary
concern. An almost equal proportion listed global economic
uncertainty as their main worry.
With national elections just months away, three of the
participants saw other risks, which include regulatory and
political uncertainty, as their biggest worry.
Sixteen companies reported an improvement in orders,
compared to just five in the previous survey, while most
participants said employment levels had remained the same.
JAPAN: LOSES STEAM (INDEX AT 55 VS 63 IN Q3)
Business sentiment in Japan turned weaker after two steady
quarters, with the global economic environment, rising costs and
political or regulatory uncertainty weighing on corporate
Of the 30 respondents, which included Daiichi Sankyo Co Ltd
, Toshiba Corp, Honda Motor and Sharp
Corp, two were negative on the outlook, five positive
and 23 neutral. In the previous survey, none of the participants
were negative and five were positive.
Global economic worries posed the biggest challenge for 10
of the Japanese companies, while rising costs and other risks
tied in as the primary concern for the second-highest number of
companies, at seven each. Eleven companies reported an
improvement in orders, compared to five in September.
SOUTH KOREA: STEADY (INDEX UNCHANGED AT 50)
Business confidence was unchanged for the second quarter in
a row. All 12 respondents, including Hyundai Heavy Industries Co
Ltd and Samsung Electronics, were
neutral about their outlook. A majority said the global economy
was their top business risk, while two saw rising costs as a
Three respondents reported an increase in orders, down from
four in the previous quarter. The majority of the participants
said orders remained steady.
TAIWAN: REBOUND IN SENTIMENT (INDEX AT 63 VS 50 IN Q3)
Optimism returned to Taiwan's sentiment index, reversing the
decline in the September quarter. Two of the eight respondents
turned positive in their outlook, compared with none in the
An overwhelming majority of the companies saw global
economic uncertainty as the biggest risk to their business,
while one said other risks posed the top worry. Three companies
reported an increase in orders, compared to just one in the
Acer Inc and Yuanta Financial Holdings Co
were among those taking part in the survey.
SOUTHEAST ASIA: MOSTLY WEAK, THAILAND TURNS NEGATIVE
(THAILAND 40; PHILIPPINES 58; SINGAPORE AT 50; MALAYSIA AT 75)
Sentiment in Southeast Asia was mostly downbeat, with
Malaysia being the only exception, improving its index reading
to 75 from 69 in the previous survey. Half of the respondents
from the country continued to report an improvement in orders.
Singapore's reading remained steady with all 15 respondents
reporting no change in sentiment from the previous quarter. Most
of the companies cited the global economy as the biggest risk.
The Philippines posted its lowest ever reading of 58, down
from 100 in the previous survey, with an equal number of
respondents citing global economic uncertainty and other risks
as the main reasons for concern. Only half of the six
respondents continued to have a positive business outlook. By
comparison, all 12 respondents in the previous survey had been
Thailand was the only economy to turn in a negative score
with a reading of 40, a sharp drop from Q3 when it posted a
reading of 71. Two participants rated other risks as the main
worry, an indication of the uncertainty because of the turmoil
currently engulfing the country and its government. Four
participants cited the global economy as the main concern, and
another three said rising costs were the biggest challenge.
There were no responses from Indonesia, the region's biggest
** Companies sampled for the survey may change from one
quarter to the next.