* Fixed-income rebound among bright spots for quarter
* Closely watched capital ratio seen higher than 9 pct
* Net profit seen rising to 1.18 bln eur - Reuters poll
By Lionel Laurent
PARIS, Nov 7 BNP Paribas is expected
to post a doubling of third-quarter profit on Wednesday, thanks
to a lighter bill from the euro zone crisis and a rebound in
fixed-income trading after moves by central banks to spur
France's biggest bank was also expected to say its closely
watched core capital ratio exceeded 9 percent under tougher
Basel III rules, putting it well ahead of domestic rivals and
many European peers.
While BNP has bolstered its financial strength by cutting
exposure to euro zone trouble spots like Greece and Italy over
the past year, its loan book is still heavily tied to the French
and Italian markets, and investors will be watching for any
further impact from the economic slowdown.
Chief executive Jean-Laurent Bonnafe may also shed more
light on BNP's strategy, which could see acquisitions or
tactical cutbacks as the French government eyes a crackdown on
risky trading and rivals like UBS exit entire business
The bank's quarterly net profit is seen rising to 1.18
billion euros ($1.51 billion), more than twice its profit of 541
million for the same period a year ago, according to the mean
estimate in a Reuters poll of 10 analysts.
The bank is, however, seen posting a 7.1 percent fall in
revenue to 9.31 billion euros, according to the poll.
BNP's earnings for the third quarter of 2011 were badly hit
by losses on Greek sovereign debt as global banks agreed to take
write-downs on their exposure to the recession-hit country.
Bright spots are likely to include bond and currency
trading, which has seen a strong rebound at rivals including
Deutsche Bank and Citigroup after the European
Central Bank's (ECB) pledge to support the euro zone.
Retail banking, a traditional cash cow for French banks
thanks to strong levels of domestic household savings, is
expected to show signs of further stagnation, meanwhile, as
consumers cut back and the overheated housing market corrects.
BNP shares have gained 27.3 percent year-to-date, giving it
a market capitalisation of 62.2 billion euros. This is more than
the STOXX Europe 600 banks index, up 17.9 percent,
though less than rivals Societe Generale and Credit
Agricole, perceived as riskier.
($1 = 0.7823 euros)
(Editing by Patrick Graham)