Emerging Markets-Bonds up with Treasuries, stocks down with data
By Daniel Bases
NEW YORK, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Emerging market assets traded mixed on Friday after a dismal U.S. jobs report sent U.S. Treasuries higher, lifting sovereign bonds.
Latin American stock markets, however, dropped along with U.S. equities after the U.S. Labor Department reported a loss of 524,000 jobs, somewhat less than analysts' expectations.
The data was largely discounted by investors after the private-sector ADB Employment Services jobs report on Wednesday indicated the employment picture would be much worse.
"The data today certainly has put a damper on things, but following the very poor ADP report the market started to brace itself for 650,000 (lost jobs) ... as a result there was a bit of relief," said Nick Chamie, head of emerging market research at RBC Capital Markets in Toronto.
"(Bonds) are doing even better than I would expect given the current state of the U.S. equity markets. There is a slightly better tone around emerging markets and it is being reflected in the fact that external debt is holding up fairly well," he said.
Yield spreads between emerging market sovereign bonds and U.S. Treasuries widened just five basis points on Friday to 650 basis points, according to the JP Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus 11EMJ.JPMEMBIPLUS.
However, benchmark issues from Brazil and Turkey, two nations that issued new debt this week, were bid higher.
The rise in U.S. Treasuries on the grim U.S. data created "upside automatic adjustment momentum to LatAm (debt) prices," said Enrique Alvarez, head of Latin American debt strategy at IDEAglobal in New York.
Russia's benchmark 2030 bond also gained ground.
While no compromise has been reached between Russia and Ukraine over the transport of natural gas, there is some movement from the European Union toward finalizing details for a monitoring program to allow the resumption of gas supplies to Europe. (For details, click on [ID:nL8375958]).
Mexico's external bonds also rose, even after a dire warning from Central Bank Governor Guillermo Ortiz, who said the bank was "enormously" worried about the shrinking economy.
Analysts say he appeared to be laying the ground work for the central bank to cut interest rates, which have held steady at 8.25 percent since August. The next review for monetary policy is Jan 16. (For details, click on [ID:nN09294386]).
"The more pronounced (the slowdown) becomes, the more the risk that you are going to see the domestic factor filter back into prices on the debt side ... We are very much focused on economic growth data and how much pass-through is being felt," said Alvarez.
The Mexican peso was slightly higher, trading at 13.64 per U.S. dollar MXN=MX01, a gain of just 0.04 percent, while Mexican stocks fell 0.98 percent .MXX.
Brazil's real jumped 1.32 percent to 2.2720 per U.S. dollar BRBY. But benchmark Brazilian equities fell 0.97 percent to 41,582.94 .BVSP.
Chile's peso closed 1.87 percent firmer on expectations that coordinated measures between the government and central bank would bolster dollar inflows, while stocks closed up 0.57 percent at 2,500.08 .IPSA.
The peso firmed despite a deeper-than-expected 100 basis point cut in the central bank's benchmark interest rate to 7.25 percent on Thursday, a move that would normally tend to depreciate the local currency by making it a less attractive investment.
The peso closed at 615.20/615.80 per U.S. dollar, compared with Thursday's close of 626.80/627.30 CHILJCLP=CL.
MCSI's emerging markets stock index .MSCIEF fell 1.24 percent to 571.25. (Additional reporting by Lisa Yulkowski and Froilan Romero in Santiago; Editing by Dan Grebler)
© Thomson Reuters 2009 All rights reserved


