Canada dollar takes biggest one-day dive in 36 yrs
By John McCrank
TORONTO, Nov 12 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar plunged almost 3 percent against the U.S. dollar on Monday, its biggest one-day fall since January 1971, as risk aversion and the unwinding of carry trades knocked the currency well down from its recent modern-day high.
The Canadian dollar unofficially closed at US$1.0307, valuing each U.S. dollar at 97.02 Canadian cents, down 2.9 percent from Friday's close of US$1.0606, or 94.28 Canadian cents. It was was fourth straight session that the Canadian unit dropped versus the greenback.
North American bond markets were closed on Monday for Veterans' Day in the United States and the Remembrance Day holiday in Canada. This meant thinner trading, which amplified the currency's moves, analysts said.
"It's been difficult to get your head around what's going on when you've seen the Canadian dollar rally so much in the past four or five months," said David Bradley, director of foreign exchange trading at Scotia Capital. "To see this reversal is quite something."
The Canadian currency has plunged more than 7 U.S. cents, or 6.6 percent, since Wednesday, when it touched US$1.1039, its highest level against the greenback since the 1870s.
Since Wednesday, risk aversion been the main theme in the financial markets, after several large U S. financial institutions announced big subprime mortgage-related writedowns. Some investors fear this may be just the tip of the iceberg.
The market jitters are causing investors to unwind risky carry trades, said Gareth Sylvester, senior currency strategist at HIFX Plc, in San Francisco.
In carry trades, investors borrow low-yielding currencies, such as the Japanese yen, to fund the purchase of higher-yielding currencies such as the Australian or New Zealand dollars.
While Canada's dollar is not a high-yielder, with the Bank of Canada's key overnight rate at 4.50 percent, the currency often gets lumped in with carry-trade currencies, which like the Canadian dollar are often commodity-driven.
Investors tend to unwind carry trades in times of risk, as market volatility or a rally in the yen can easily wipe out carry-trade profits.
"We've seen significant amounts of yen strength and I think that just points to traders sort of squaring-up their carry trade positions," Sylvester said.
On Monday, the yen climbed to its highest point against the greenback in 1-1/2 years, while the Australian and New Zealand dollars were down sharply, in line with the Canadian dollar.
PROFIT TAKING
The credit-related concerns along with the Canadian dollar's rapid ascent to modern-day highs have also created an environment ripe for profit-taking, said Scotia's Bradley.
"I wouldn't be surprised by the end of this week if you see quite a reversal in the speculative positions on the (International Monetary Market)."
Comments last week by Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty and various U.S. investment firms saying the Canadian dollar is overvalued have added downward pressure to the currency, Bradley said.
Also, oil and gold prices were off their recent highs, making the Canadian dollar less attractive to investors, as Canada is a major commodities producer and exporter, said Matthew Strauss, senior currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets.
But he said that commodities prices were a secondary story, and that risk aversion was the main cause of the Canadian dollar's fall.
(Reporting by John McCrank; Editing by Peter Galloway)
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