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JGB futures hit 6-week low as Nikkei extends rally

Wed Apr 16, 2008 10:31pm EDT
 
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By Eric Burroughs

TOKYO, April 17 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond futures slid to a six-week low on Thursday as the Nikkei share average rallied for a third day, boosted by solid gains on Wall Street after an array of reassuring earnings reports.

A tumble in U.S. Treasuries on the back of the gains in stocks also added to selling pressure in JGBs as investors shifted funds away from the safe-haven bonds.

JGBs have retreated as investors hope that the worst of the financial crisis stemming from defaults on U.S. subprime mortgages has passed, with quarterly results from top U.S. banks JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and Wells Fargo (WFC.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) showing they were coping with the troubles. [ID:nN16365624]

The renewed stability in equity markets has also prompted investors to see less risk of the Bank of Japan cutting rates later in the year, with the implied chance of a quarter-point cut falling to around 15 percent from near 50 percent earlier in the month.

"The chance of a rate cut is very low," said Nhan Ngoc Le, an interest rate strategist at ABN AMRO.

The Nikkei share average .N225 pushed up 2.3 percent and is now up some 15 percent from its lows this year.

Analysts said that comments from new BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa indicated he was set to maintain the central bank's hawkish stance emphasising the need to normalise monetary policy and short-term rates in the long run.

JGBs may be in store for more losses as the lead futures contract broke below chart levels.  Continued...

 

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