* King says may need to give more guidance on CPI goal
* Remarks come after Fed, Bank of Canada change tack
* Bank open to more asset purchases but no panacea
* "Gentle recovery", above-target CPI seen for 2013
By Padraic Halpin and David Milliken
BELFAST, Jan 22 The Bank of England's
inflation-targeting remit needs to be fine-tuned but should not
undergo fundamental change, central bank governor Mervyn King
said in a speech on Tuesday.
He also said that the central bank was ready to restart bond
purchases or cut interest rates if needed to boost the economy,
but that Britain needed more fundamental reforms if it was to
exceed the "gentle recovery" he expects for 2013.
King steps down in June, and his successor Mark Carney, head
of the Bank of Canada, has promoted long-term commitments to low
rates, which are also in favour at the U.S. Federal Reserve.
To date the Bank of England has been unenthusiastic about
explicit interest rate commitments, arguing its existing policy
framework is clearer than other central banks'.
And finance minister George Osborne, who ultimately decides
the bank's goals, said last month that while he welcomed debate,
there would need to be a strong case for change.
However, in what is likely to be his last speech to be
delivered outside London, King said that it was time for the
Bank and the government to think again.
"Recent actions by central banks and governments in a number
of industrialised countries have raised questions about the
frameworks within which monetary policy is being conducted," he
said. "In the UK ... it would be sensible to review the
arrangements for setting monetary policy," King said.
The changes King appears to have in mind are small, and Sam
Tombs, a UK economist at Capital Economics, said his remarks may
have been aimed at forestalling calls for bigger changes.
"King used his speech to pour cold water on recent clamours
for a change in the monetary policy framework and ... emphasised
the merits and successes of the current regime.
"However, he conceded that the current framework could be
reformed ... (and) perhaps hinted that he is open to the Bank
mirroring the U.S. Fed's recent guidance," he said.
In the text of his speech, King referred to the Fed's
decision to state levels to which unemployment would probably
need to fall to before it started to raise interest rates.
"Is there a gain from trying to quantify how the (Bank's)
Monetary Policy Committee should manage the trade-off between
growth and inflation in the short run?," King asked.
"How much discretion to give to the MPC and how much should
remain with the Chancellor is an interesting question that was
raised, but not fully resolved, in 1997," he said, referring to
the date when the BoE gained operational independence.
King said Osborne may want to be more explicit about how
fast the central bank is expected to return inflation to target.
Inflation has been above its 2 percent goal since December
2009, and King said he expected it to remain so for most of
2013. The central bank's forecasts do not see it firmly back at
2 percent until the second half of 2014.
This is in line with the bank's current interpretation of
its mandate, under which it sets monetary policy to get
inflation to 2 percent within 2-3 years.
In his comments about the more immediate outlook for British
monetary policy, King left his options open, though his remarks
are unlikely to change economists' expectations that the central
bank will not add to its 375 billion pounds ($595 billion) of
asset purchases any time soon.
"We are ready to provide more stimulus if it is needed,"
King said, adding the bank would continue to assess whether to
cut interest rates again, something it has resisted since March
2009 lest it hurt fragile banks or building societies.
Although inflation was likely to remain above target for
most of 2013, the MPC could look past this while it was driven
by semi-regulated prices such as university tuition fees rather
than market-generated price rises, King said.
Nonetheless, more asset purchases or rate cuts would not be
enough to get Britain's economy back on track.
"Relying on generalised monetary stimulus alone ... is not a
panacea," King said.
Britain's economy shrank about 6 percent in the 2008-09
financial crisis, and has recovered much more slowly than its
peers. Growth in the last three months of 2012 was likely to
have been "considerably weaker" than in the previous quarter,
continuing a trend of zig-zagging growth rates, King said.
A more solid recovery required three things, King said,
citing supply-side reforms, stronger euro zone growth and
restructuring Britain's banks.