* Bank has kept lending rate steady for two months
* Board sees inflation slowing, credit growth strong
* Analyst expects central bank to keep rate steady
(Adds details, quote from analyst, byline)
By Eduardo Garcia and Nelson Bocanegra
BOGOTA, May 11 Colombia central bank board
members said inflation in the South American country shows signs
of easing even though consumer credit is strong, according to
minutes published on Friday.
The seven-member board decided unanimously to keep the
lending rate at 5.25 percent in the past two policy meetings
following a year-long, 225-basis-point rise that has helped cool
inflation in one of Latin America's fastest-growing economies.
The minutes signaled concern among Colombian policymakers
that a continued credit expansion may be pressuring consumer
prices even though inflation has slowed and months of tighter
monetary policy helped temper economic growth.
"Inflation forecasts fell again, and we expect that they
will converge toward the middle of the (annual) target range,"
according to the minutes, which also show board members still
fear that consumer credit growth may fuel a rise in consumer
In the 12-month period through April, consumer prices rose
3.43 percent, not far above the 3 percent midpoint of the
central bank's 2-percent to 4-percent annual target range.
Some board members said there is a risk that prices may
increase because of strong domestic demand, while others said
that borrowing costs have reached a "neutral level" and that
measures already taken by the bank should keep inflation in
"The minutes confirm our expectations that there won't be
changes to the interest rate for the rest of the year," said
Camilo Perez, an analyst with Banco de Bogota.
Price increases slowed to a 0.12 percent rise in March, from
a 0.73 percent increase in January and a 0.61 percent advance in
In April, consumer prices rose 0.14 percent
All 35 analysts surveyed in a Reuters poll late last month
said they expected inflation this year to be within the
Board members vowed to monitor credit growth data closely -
they said that in the 12 months to March the credit portfolio of
private banks grew 22 percent.
The central bank forecasts that the Colombian economy will
expand between 4 percent and 6 percent this year, according to
the minutes. The government sees the economy expanding at least
5 percent in 2012.
Colombia has become one of the best performing economies in
Latin America and has attracted a flood of foreign investment in
the oil and mining sectors. Last year it was granted an
investment grade rating status from Fitch, Moody's and Standard
(Writing by Eduardo Garcia; Editing by Leslie Adler, W Simon
and Padraic Cassidy)