(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters)
By John Wasik
CHICAGO, June 9 Ever since the dot-com crash
more than a decade ago, Wall Street and the mutual fund industry
have been on a relentless push to plug "smart" beta funds, also
known as "alternative" or "strategic beta" products. The funds
promise reasonable returns with lower risk by focusing on older,
steadier companies with consistent dividends.
But pursuing a smart-beta strategy isn't as simple as just
buying a fund with that name and thinking it will outperform
conventional index funds. There's always a trade-off in costs,
risk and return, so you need to dig much deeper to get beyond
simplistic marketing pitches.
For example, let's say you were seeking an alternative
strategy and were sour on the 150 or so S&P 500 index funds on
the market that weight their stock holdings by the popularity or
market valuation of the stocks within the index.
Under the dominant "cap-weighting" design, top holdings of a
typical S&P 500 index exchange-traded fund would have Apple Inc
at about 3 percent of the portfolio, followed by Exxon
Mobil Corp at 2.6 percent and Microsoft Corp.
at just under 2 percent. Every other stock in the portfolio
would represent a slightly lower percentage of the total
The idea behind cap-weighting is that the most-popular U.S.
stocks represent the largest portions of the portfolio. This is
what economist John Maynard Keynes called a "beauty contest,"
with investors bidding up the prices of the most glamorous
stocks. The downside is that these companies may be overpriced
and may not have as much room to grow as other, bargain-priced
One alternative in the smart beta fund category is an
equal-weighted stock index fund such as the Guggenheim S&P 500
Equal-weighted ETF, which holds the same stocks as the
S&P Index, only in equal proportions. This design somewhat
side-steps the overpricing issue because it's less exposed to
beauty contestants, especially when they falter a bit.
To date, both the long- and short-term performance of the
equal-weighted strategy has been better than the cap-weighted
index funds. The Guggenheim fund has beaten the S&P 500 index
over the past three, five and 10 years. With an annualized
return of 9.7 percent over the past decade through June 6, it's
topped the S&P index by more than two percentage points over
that period. But it costs 0.40 percent for annual expenses,
compared with 0.09 percent for the SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF
Once you start to ignore the beauty pageant for stocks, is
there an even smarter beta strategy? What if you picked the best
stocks based on a combination of value, sales, cash flow and
dividends? You might find even more bargains in this pool of
companies. They'd have strong fundamentals and might be more
consistently profitable over time.
One leading "fundamentally weighted" portfolio, which also
resides under the smart beta umbrella, is the PowerShares FTSE
RAFI US 1000 ETF, which also has outperformed the S&P
500 by about two percentage points over the past five years with
an annualized return of 20 percent through June 6. It costs 0.39
percent annually for management expenses.
The PowerShares fund owns some of the most-popular S&P Index
stocks like Exxon Mobil, Chevron Corp and AT&T Inc
, only in much different proportions relative to the
cap-weighted indexes. The RAFI approach focuses more on cash,
dividends and finding undervalued companies, so it's not
necessarily looking for the most-popular stocks.
Although looking at the rear-view mirror for index-beating
returns seems to make equal- and fundamental-weighted strategies
appear promising long term, you also have to look at internal
expenses to see which strategy might have the edge.
Turnover, or the percentage of the portfolio that's bought
and sold in a year, is worth gauging in both funds. Generally,
the higher the turnover, the more costly the fund is to run.
That eats into your total return. The PowerShares fund has the
advantage here with an annual turnover of 13 percent, compared
to 37 percent for the Guggenheim fund.
Over the long term, "fundamentally weighted smart beta
strategies are likely to outperform the equal weighted
approach," note Engin Kose and Max Moroz with Research
Affiliates, a financial research company based in Newport Beach,
California, which largely developed the concept of fundamental
weighting and is behind RAFI-named indexes.
But just considering costs doesn't end the debate on equal-
and fundamentally weighted funds. While they may be
higher-performing than most U.S. stock index funds over time,
they are not immune from downturns. Both lost more than the S&P
500 in 2008 and 2011.
While it may be difficult to predict how these funds will
perform in a flat economy or a sell-off, they are worth
considering to replace your core stock holdings, and may be the
wisest choices among the smarter strategies.
(Follow us @ReutersMoney or here;
Editing by Beth Pinsker and Dan Grebler)