Romney, Obama effectively tied as election nears: Reuters/Ipsos poll

Eventually, Romney will get the “pole”.

Pole, smoll. Four more years of Obama and you can kiss everything you hold dear goodbye. When Romney wins you watch what goes on in DC for lame duck couple of months OB has control.

Thank you Mr. President for the continued recovery from the recession left to us by the last republican President.
The question is will independents pull their heads out and give Obama a second term or will they make the same mistake they made in the mid-term by giving power to republicans who have made congress useless.
Vote every republican out of every office every chance you get. Vote!

The tide is coming in, no not the Crimson Tide, the red wave washing over the US map. The polls are showing a consistent momentum for Romney. Will it be enough to overcome the more populous states? Stay tuned! We have all the factors in place for this to be a Goreish ending ;)

Why is this news? The presidential race has been a dead heat, statistically speaking, for the last 3 months. Every time anyone publishes a poll, the margin of error is big enough to negate who is “up.” So if the results are not statistically significant, why is this news?

“We have all the factors in place for this to be a Goreish ending”

Indeed – and Romney’s the one who’s ahead in the national poll but not so much in the Electoral College. It’ll be interesting to see what Romney looks like with a beard. Maybe he’ll win an Academy Award too.

In 2008 Obama was leading by 7 points with 2 weeks left . If he is polling at 46% now he is in deep trouble.

@Whiplash….could you elaborate on how the Republicans caused the recession?

Was it those same pesky trickle-down tax cuts that Obama EXTENDED?

Hold on to that lead Romney! America can’t stand four more years of Obama’s reckless spending, lack of concern for middle class wage declines, and non-existent plan for job growth.

Effectively tied… in the popular vote, which is purely symbolic. Romney faces a fairly steep uphill climb to get to 270 electoral votes, which many media entities seem to be conveniently overlooking for the sake of an exciting narrative.

“could you elaborate on how the Republicans caused the recession?”

1. the Iraq war
2. the Bush tax cuts
3. the unfunded Medicare drug benefit
4. the refusal to regulate the derivatives market

Next question?

Whipsplash
Thank you Mr. President for the lack of recovery from the recession created by both parties.
The question is will independents pull their heads out and give Romney their vote or will they make the same mistake they made in the 2008 by giving power to Obama who is useless.
Vote every Democrat out of every office every chance you get. Vote!

Romney in front of a sea of white people. That looks like like a Klan meeting.

no tie, President Obama is ahead by a landslide just like in the presidential election

All Romney needs now is WI or OH and it is game over. He has 267 electoral votes locked up. I suspect the election will be called with Florida balloting closed in the panhandle and it will be obvious Obama is a 1 term deal much like Carter.

“Was it those same pesky trickle-down tax cuts that Obama EXTENDED?”

Yes, that and deregulating the bankers and mortgage industries. They also turned their backs to the wreck less investments and dealings on wall street which sucked the economy dry. In the tax cuts you mention are incentives to off shore jobs as part of Bush “Global Economy” vision. Sending out good paying jobs overseas and replacing them with $10/hr jobs here has created a greater income gap.

Need I go on?

After three and a half years, it’s still BUSH to blame?

Observing the age of Eastwood, he will be dead and will not see the mayhem he has wrought if his man gets in. He needs to take that chair, sit down, and shut up.

I am honestly appalled with some of these comments.
Who can honestly blame Obama for not cleaning up the horrendous mess left by Bush policies fast enough? Are you going to put the same crew who made the mess back in???? Obama did say that repairing the damage would take more than four years. We are getting there. Who are these fickle Americans swooning for the charlatan who makes nonsensical promises to increase military spending, reduce taxes and reduce the debt, just like the Republican soothsayers before him. I do not understand how unbelievably indiscriminate we citizens have become. LOOK at Massachusetts! The citizens there roundly condemn Romney for his games, “reduced taxes” mostly on the wealthy and corporate class, then raised fees by 250 million dollars on everyone else! He said he asked for binders of women yet the actual number of women who served in his administration dropped precipitously through his term. These are facts. Yet, I am watching the “optics” leave reality before my very eyes. The dismissal of Obama is fact-free, cheap, coarse, and disrespectful. How is Romney going to close loopholes to “balance” the budget? Won’t tell you. Is Romney going to work to overturn Roe v Wade or let it stand? Won’t tell you. If Romney has excoriated Obama’s foreign policy over the past two years, why did he agree with it pretty much throughout the third debate? Why is it so difficult for us Americans to have substantive satisfying discussions about the direction of this great country? Because there are vested interests poisoning the discourse with dripping scorn and falsehoods. We can do better than Mitch McConnell who started off Obama’s first term not as a celebration of democracy where the people spoke decisively, but with “our goal is to make this a one-term president.” Shame on you, Mitch McConnell, for holding the country hostage to your small, vituperative, savagely ignorant world view. Shame on all the people who smeared Obama with ridiculous labels like Marxist Communist Kenyan Muslim Socialist Big Spending Radical Liberal, you should be ashamed of your witlessness, and your clear incomprehension of what Presidents can and cannot do in this system . . . your Congress is responsible for every dollar spent and every dollar owed and every jobs program shot down and every special tax break given to those who so very absolutely do not need them.
God Save This Republic from ignorance . . . please Amen.

Too little too late for Romney. He is unable to overcome the early votes cast in favor of Obama.

Sad news for the republicans. Regardless of the poll indicated by this paper which by the way is based on popular vote, Obama wins. Why? Math! If Obama wins any ONE of the swing states whether it be Virginia, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Colorado, New Hampshire, etc., Obama wins. It’s called electoral college.

This should be very familiar to the republicans. Remember Bush? Yes, that’s how he won his 2nd term. But this time Obama doesn’t need Florida. Nor will he need any help from the biased bigots in the supreme court. So my advice to the republicans? Stay home! It’s a lost cause.

america is so sick of obama’s lies,vacations and endless celebrity parties while the country is in its worse condition since the 1930′s that he will not only be voted out by the largest margin in history but this disgrace will be driven right out of the country!  

america is so sick of obama’s lies,vacations and endless celebrity parties while the country is in its worse condition since the 1930′s that he will not only be voted out by the largest margin in history but this disgrace will be driven right out of the country!  

america is so sick of obama’s lies,vacations and endless celebrity parties while the country is in its worse condition since the 1930′s that he will not only be voted out by the largest margin in history but this disgrace will be driven right out of the country!  

2008 gasoline 1.85, unemployment less than 6%. Obama sure pulled us out of that disaster by improving the economy, so now gas is 3.65 and real unemplyment is over 8%. We do have Obamacare, and we still don’t know what is in the bill. Get real democrats, you can fool some of the people all the time and all of the people some of the time but you can’t fool all the people all the time, especially not by blaming the guy from 4 years ago.

Foolish electorate. Blames the President for gas prices. Blames the President for the unemployment rate. Doesn’t realize that it is being distracted by the obstructionist Congressional Republicans who have done everything in their power to undermine the President to heck with America. Get real, indeed, dupes to the corporate plutocracy who want shape-shifter Romney, a moderate this week, a “severe conservative” last spring, how can you fall for such an unprincipled vulture?

Liberals must really dislike Romney, otherwise he should be ahead by 30 points after this despicable cover up of Libya by Obama.

….but obama said he was ahead. Another lie.

Wow @zotdoc and cognitive dissonance, apparently it is a symptom of rightieness. You say in 2008 unemployment was less than 6%, maybe in the band then you go on to use ‘real’ unemployment later, yet you do not use ‘real’ unemployment with your 2008 number, I mean come on man! Also it was at 6% in the beginning of 2008, in jan of 2009, the month Obama was inaugurated it was 7.8% and RISING, because losing about 750K jobs a month. Get real man.

Vote based on facts. Here’s one. A giant communication company in California purchases a 40 acre vacant land for $20M. The company actually uses 1 acre of this land but indicates in the papers filed that the 39 acres is “essential” for the company operation. Under the Bush/Republican bill that was passed, the entire value of the land is exempt from taxation because it’s “essential” to the operation. Four years later, the company sells the 39 acre land to the developer for $80M. Suddenly, this vacant land no longer became “essential”? Under the same bill, company is not taxed because the transaction falls under “company operational transaction”. Not a penny!

These are facts folks. Anyone can look it up. That is , if you don’t have a full time job. I know because I’m on the inside.

Regardless of which party you belong to, don’t you think this is madness? Under Democratic leadership, they’ll be forced to pay. Not based on the entire market value of the land mind you. But something at least. Look, I personally think they should pay just as the rest of us. But I get it. Big companies provide employment so they should get some breaks. I get it. But pay nothing? And we wonder how these executives can afford to pay for an $8,000 toilet seat!

Plang1 posts the same comments 3 times. I can just imagine this person pounding the enter button on his computer. He’s for Romney. Need I say more?

What oldschool said (see oldschool’s comment).

You win by electoral votes in the US, not popular vote.
Obama is ahead by 30% in electoral votes.
Romney is losing badly, and has little chance.
You can see it on his face.

Romney is ahead in a poll oversampling Democrats by 7 points. If Democrats and Republicans show up in equal numbers on election day (like they did in the 2010 mid-terms), Romney will easily win all swing states including Pennsylvania. I hate to break it to you, but Romney’s enthusiasm numbers are quite a bit ahead of Obama’s enthusiasm numbers amongst their respective bases. It’s laughable to believe that Democrats will outnumber Republicans by 7 points in this election. By the way, the number of registered Republicans and Democrats in Ohio is equal. If you think Republicans are going to sit this election out like they did in 2008, you are sadly mistaken. I’ll be honest and say that I haven’t voted since 1992 because I live in a solid red state and I’ve never felt the need to run up the score. I feel differently this time around. I will be casting my vote for Romney in order to send a message to any other politicians in the future that collectivism and redistribution of wealth will never be accepted. Politicans must know that adopting these policies will result in the death of their political career.

I’m wondering how Romney can now promote himself as being the guy to bring ‘big change’ to Washington, while he has the Bush II economic and foreign policy advisors on board, and he shows every intention of going straight back to that. The GOP couldn’t run far enough away from their record in 2006 and 2008, yet here they are again with their newest puppet. I guess technically that qualifies as change, but are we ready for this?

The Speaker Of The House has sent the following letter to the President Of The United States. Since I am sure the main stream media will not publish it for the public’s viewing I will put it here. I also doubt we, or the Speaker, will hear from the President.

“I respectfully request that you, as our country’s President and Commander-in-Chief, publicly address the following questions and concerns that are on the minds of many of our fellow Americans,” writes Boehner:

•It is clear from publicly-available information that Ambassador Stevens and our personnel on the ground in Libya had significant concerns about security in Benghazi and around the consulate. While the Department of State is responding to questions regarding its decisions, it is reasonable to believe you and senior Administration officials would have at some point been personally briefed by Ambassador Stevens, given the high-profile nature of our bilateral relationship and significant challenges facing the Libyan people and government, as well as our national interests in Libya. Your public remarks on October 22, 2012 focused on the merits of democratic transition in Libya, which are widely supported in Congress, but you did not take the opportunity to discuss whether you were aware of the rising trend in militias and other security problems the country team was monitoring. When was the last time you were briefed by Ambassador Stevens about the evolving security and political situation in Libya? Did he make any direct observations or raise any concerns to you or your staff about the security situation in country?

•There are reports that military options and assets were offered to and considered by the White House during and in the immediate aftermath of the terrorist attack. Can you explain what options were presented to you or your staff, and why it appears assets were not allowed to be pre-positioned, let alone utilized? If these reports are accurate, the artificial constraint on the range of options at your disposal would be deeply troubling.

•The National Security Council staff receives significant amounts of raw information and intelligence from throughout the government on a daily basis, and significant and urgent items are flagged for senior White House policymakers. It is clear that information now in the public domain contradicts how you and senior Administration officials consistently described the cause and nature of the terrorist attack in the days and weeks immediately following. Why did the Administration fail to account for facts that were known at the time? I also request that you explain how the Administration’s policy response has shifted now that it is publicly acknowledging the attack as an act of terrorism and not a result of an escalating protest against an internet video.

•Many Americans are frustrated and alarmed to read news that agencies appear to have better access to the site of the attack and to individuals of interest than the Administration. House Republicans have consistently expressed concern with your preference for a law enforcement response to acts of terrorism, and news reports have documented the limits of and the missed opportunities by insisting the response to the attack be handled as a criminal investigation. The American people deserve to know how your Administration is re-adjusting its response on this critical point, as well as how you intend to handle the detainment and interviews of persons of interest.

•During your public appearance on October 22, 2012, you asked your fellow Americans to be mindful of the public expressions of support for the United States and outrage regarding the attacks by many Libyans. The House of Representatives was and is grateful for that public support. At the same time, public sentiment cannot substitute for the political willingness and capacity of any government to assist the United States in achieving its national security objectives. Given the public documentation of the limits of what the Libyan government can do, it is important for you to address whether you would be willing to take actions on behalf of United States national security interests unilaterally when there is a lack of will or capacity by our partners.

I can’t believe I use to be a democrat!

liberals trying to blame everything on the big bad republicans its my daily comedic relief thanks guys! fact is we have a 2 party system and they’ve both screwed the populace big time. the question is who is better to lead us hopefully out of the darkness? i’ve seen obama for 4 years and given his complete and utter lack of leadership which is always required in a 2 party system who wants this guy around another 4 years to be ineffective? anyone see his rehashed glossy on how to spur the economy using more deficit spending to build infrastructure? didn’t we try that with the $800 billion stimulus? oh lets try it again because well maybe it’ll work. is this the best economic proposal this guy and his ilk can come up with? obama is so far out of his league playing in the big pool if you can’t see it you’re a partisan hack.

I will be voting for Obama, and I live in a state that is guaranteed to vote for Obama by a landslide.

I am absolutely positive that the silent majority, liberal America, will be coming out in droves on Nov 6th to vote for Obama and vote all other Teapublicans out of office that are up for election. The Teapublican party has held the US captive in order to meet one objective…get Obama out of office.

Here is a cursory list of things that would have helped our nation but the Teapublicans blocked because they would also make Obama look good:
Pass the jobs bill to help reduce unemployment.
Raise the debt ceiling like Reagan, Bush I, Clinton and Bush II did numerous times.
Staff the regulatory oversight committee for Wall St.
End the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy without attaching unemployment benefits (Obama had to keep these tax cuts in place because the Teapublicans inserted language into the bill that said if the tax breaks ended, so would unemployment benefits for millions of Americans…shady).

The Teapublicans are party first, country second types of people. They don’t even realize it. Obama will work across the aisle and in fact his entire Affordable Care Act is based off of a Republican idea floated by Bob Dole and implemented by Romney in Massachusetts. The Teapublicans would never even consider part of a democrat’s idea. The road block is clearly on the Teapublican side, and every single one up for election needs to be voted out of office in November to send a message that we want politicians that will work for America…not for their party.

The silent majority will stand up stronger than ever this time.

“After three and a half years, it’s still BUSH to blame?”

Since you obviously never learned what blame is, I’ll educate you.

blame is what you have to do when those that screw up never take responsibility. Your parents blame you when you have been wrong but lie about it.

Yes , We BLAME Bush. He lied, tortured, politisized and spent the country into the Great Recession. He redidributed 10% of the wealth of the country in to the hands of the rich FROM the middle class.

HE NEVER TOOK RESPONSIBILITY. That leaves the rest of the GOP to continue that behavour. Thus we have Romney!

We blame Bush for this, and will until they stop doing what he did and promise never to do it again.

Now do you understand or should I get the hand puppets out?

2008 gasoline 1.85, unemployment less than 6%

BS – Dec- 2008Gas 3.78 a gallon. Unemployment ising by 850,000 a month. that’s a full bpercent per month.

Why must republicans try to rewrite history every election. They act like we weren’t there. Idiots

This doesn’t bode well for the Democrats. They were sure they had the 2010 election and the recall vote in election. If it is a statistical tie, I give 5 points to Romney.

BO is ahead in no (zero) polls.

If the country was in a depression when Obama took office (a GDP shrinking at a 10% clip!!!) and now it’s been growing consistently and gathering momentum, how is that a lousy job? There has been a lot of deleveraging going on, ie paying off debts, and more and more people are going to be finished paying off debts in the coming months and years. That means A LOT more spending is on the table in the near future and a robust economy. But we can’t give Obama any credit, we can only say a guy who ran an LBO shop in the 80s and 90s can do better in guiding the economy. I gotta call BS on that – he’ll use the same policies of Bush43, and his private sector job record was ABYSMAL!! Bush43 actually had negative private sector job growth over 8yrs (-450k); Obama has a huge positive number (4.8m). Bush increased the size of govt by 3.5m; under Obama it is -950k. So Obama has done everything that conservative say they want but actually haven’t done themselves. My God, why don’t facts play to simple Americans, only ridiculous narratives about birth certificates and tax returns.

@oldschool

“1. the Iraq war
2. the Bush tax cuts
3. the unfunded Medicare drug benefit
4. the refusal to regulate the derivatives market”

1. The Iraq war hurts the budget, it boosted the economy, specifically the military complex.
2. The bush tax cuts helped the economy by spurring spending. Obama liked them so much, he kept them for his full four years of Presidency. Again they hurt the budget.
3. The unfunded Medicaid benefit again is government spending, it helps the economy, it hurts the budget.
4. You might as well throw most of the Democrats that were in office during the time in that boat too. Democrats and Republicans in the late 90s and early 00s were all too happy to deregulate and push more loans. The economy expanded greatly during that time when it would not have. Hence the crash.

But obviously from your points, you disagree with government spending helping the economy, and you want us to cut spending on medicare, on the war machine, raise taxes, and enact more regulations. Why are you voting for Obama? He wont do any of those things, he actually has done the opposite in most cases.

Also (my post above) I think we know now why Romney did not challenge obama at the debate…The Speaker Of The House is handling this through LEGAL channels. If you know what I mean.

Obama is not ahead in any poll

lol Reuters

@AlkalineState

“Too little too late for Romney. He is unable to overcome the early votes cast in favor of Obama.”

Early votes mean nothing in presidential elections. They almost always go Democrat until you get the military votes in which go Republican historically.

Come on if you don’t make millions of dollars what rational reason do you have to vote for Rom for president? There is no way Rom could understand what you are struggling with. He has never dealt with real economic struggles of real Americans.

Do not take anyone’s word here. Check below, RPC average, especially the graph at 14 days. The momentum has shifted again, Romney up obama down. No more debates to lie at now…and the Benghazi thing can no longer be containded.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

You lib dems need to start figuring how you are going to get along with folks. Constant bickering and insults are not going to work for your much longer. Also you need to learn how to obey the law again. Change is comming.

So, for about a week after Tampa Romney was up 4 or 5; then for a week after Charlotte, Obama was up 4 or 5. Two weeks to go, and they’re back even. If two parties essentially split the best pollsters, heelers and marketers in the political universe evenly between themselves, you would get an electorate that is neatly halved. Presto. Even Reagan admitted that if the election had been held a week later, he would have lost, and that was 32 years ago.
Jobless claims, unemployment ticking down, retail sales up. If something hotter than a dead ambassador was going, Romney would be using it to trash Obama’s foreign policy instead. If Romney had more ideas than a 20% cut not even business thinks is paid for, he’d have a case. If these threads are any indication, the main argument for Romney is he’s a good white man. So was Nixon.
Peace.

totherepublic, While I do not wish to seem brusque and standoffish, time restraints requiring my attention to matters of national concern, I must of necessity make my answers brief and to the point. (1) before the attack, (2) yes, (3) quickly, (4) as necessary, (5) yes, with the express qualification America will not send American troops to invade Libya, or Syria, or Lebanon, or Iran. Since the Speaker seems to have a considerable amount of free time on his hands, at least enough to write letters on topics the Speaker generally has little power to influence, and which are being adequate covered by numerous agencies that do have the possibility of influencing the course of events in this arena, perhaps the Speaker would address the families of these troops and explain what American families have to gain by putting their families in harms way. P.S. When are you guys going to pass my jobs bill? America is still waiting for you to do something. Besides write letters of self-serving political pandering.

Lol well tied if you include the liberal bias. But lets assume somehow this poll is correct, it is not a tie. Historically in an election involving an incumbent, the undecided vote always goes to the challenger. There has been no exception to this at least in the last 100 years or so. Which means, even if this poll is tied, it is a Romney win because the 4 to 6% undecided vote is Romney and that makes from 5 to 7 points ahead and winning.

@JBPoliti

“Come on if you don’t make millions of dollars what rational reason do you have to vote for Rom for president? There is no way Rom could understand what you are struggling with. He has never dealt with real economic struggles of real Americans.”

Obama has never dealt with real economic struggles of real Americans either. Almost none of the politicians have. Obama is a multimillionaire that sends his children to a very expensive private school in DC. He went to expensive private schools most of his life as well. This isn’t a good reason to not vote for Romney or Obama.

@Marcuscassius

Unemployment rate per month in 2008: Jan 5.0 Feb 4.9 Mar 5.1 Apr 5.0 May 5.4 Jun 5.6 Jul 5.8 Aug 6.1 Sep 6.1 Oct 6.5 Nov 6.8 Dec 7.3.

The yearly average was 5.8%. Math and research is not your enemy.

If you are the lone independent voter..look at the candidates proposals..What is Obama suggesting for a second term..or Romney if elected? One proposal seems to deal with a modest map for the next several years. Even a conservative would agree it is a good plan for a changing economy. The other proposal seems to be more Reagan bootstraping (tax cuts, closed loopholes and military spending to shore up job loses) where we arrive at 12 million manufacturing jobs. Call me a skeptic but if one proposal seems to good to be true..it probably is.

A 1-point lead in one poll is significant, but not by much. A 1-point lead in an average of 9 tracking polls is quite significant. Margin of error is a concept journalists just don’t get. And they should.

The most remarkable aspect of this is that after 4 years of incumbency, a President is barely trying to hang on – it speaks volumes about a failed Presidency. Every incumbent President who is re-elected does better the second time – and that is not happening here – not even the most die-hard supporters claim Obama will do better this time – it is only a question of trying to hang on. Interviews with MTV and Rolling Stone? – those are directed at the hard core base – if, a week before the election you are focusing on your base (who should have been locked up a long time ago), you are in trouble.

I am not surprised that Mittens is surging a bit near the end of this election. The reality of another four years of an African American president must be horrifying to the frightened bigots in this country.
I wonder what McCain would have done regarding our countries impending financial collapse if he where elected president? Oh ya, probably the same thing the president did. You sheep sicken me!

I understand why people would be moving into the Obama camp. It’s in their best interest. According to Romney the Obama administration has created over 4 million jobs, unemployment has steadily decreased from over 10% to 7.8%, the stock market is up 75% from almost 8000 to over 13000, and both Bush deficit causing wars are ending. This economic recovery is occurring in spite of republican congressional opposition. Instead Romney makes proposals that would return us to the situation which caused the recession. While Romney’s comments and positions change like the weather, his running mate’s positions are recorded in the congressional record. The “Ryan budget” proposed to replace Medicare with a voucher program. The plan would not increase as medical costs increase, leaving beneficiaries partially uninsured. On April 1, 2009, Ryan introduced an 8.5% value-added consumption tax (national sales tax). Presently, the House Budget Committee, chaired by Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), has told a veterans’ group it is studying a plan to save $6 billion annually in VA health care costs by canceling enrollment of any veteran who doesn’t have both a service-related medical condition and is poor.