Cautious reformers tipped for new China leadership

Comments (3)
pbgd wrote:

I have seen this list before, but I really can’t see much “cautious reform” here. That seems to be mostly wishful thinking. Several of them are in fact hardline Maoists of the old school and obviously Jiang’s nominees.

Nov 05, 2012 9:01pm EST  --  Report as abuse
mfw13 wrote:

China has many problems facing it, something which Western politicians do not seem to understand.

1) Corruption – this is the biggest political problem, and is a very sensitive topic. Both Bloomberg and the NY Times have seen their websites shut down in China since reporting on corruption at the upper levels of the party, in Bloomberg’s case for almost six months now. This is the main issue which threatens to undermine the party’s legitimacy.

2) Demographics – because of the one-child policy, Chinese demographics are moving in the same direction as Japan’s, to a point where there will soon be not enough workers to keep the economy going or to support senior citizens. Think one working child trying to support four grandparents.

3) Environment/Healthcare – I’m linking these two because many of China’s health care issues will be directly related to environmental problems. The aging population will put extreme pressue on the health-care system, and China is already facing shortages of clean drinking water and arable land (the water level in the aquifer supplying Beijing, for example, has dropped 150 meters over the past ten years).

4) Education – the Chinese education system is mediocre, at best (I’ve taught in it), which will result in increasing downward pressure on economic growth. As others have noted, Chinese companies have not been able to come up with any paradigm-shifting inventions/products, and instead rely on copying things already developed by western companies. Because of this you are starting to see a brain drain, as more and more parents send their kids abroad for high school and college.

Nov 05, 2012 9:11pm EST  --  Report as abuse
DeanMJackson wrote:

The concept of Chinese Communist Party “reformers” is meant to cement in the minds of outside observers that there are factions within the Chinese Communist Party. Of course, there aren’t.

All actions of the Chinese Communist Party and government must be analyzed through the prism of the “Long-Range Policy”, the “new” more subtle strategy all Communist nations signed onto in 1960 as the only credible means to defeat the West with, as first revealed to the West by KGB defector Major Anatoliy Golitsyn, the only Soviet-era defector to still be under protective custody in the West, proving (1) the collapses of the USSR/East Bloc were strategic ruses; and (2) that all other Soviet-era defectors who followed Golitsyn were still loyal to their respective Communist intelligence agencies, since all of them provided incorrect intelligence on the future of the USSR/East Bloc.

For instance, the “dissident” movement in China (as in the USSR) is a creation of Beijing, its existence intended to instill in Western minds that the Communist government/party has competing factions, with one faction being the “reformist” faction that allows for “dissidents” being known to the West. With millions of government agents that infest every aspect of Chinese life, from urban centers to rural villages, nothing happens in China that isn’t cleared by Beijing.

“Behind the impressive smokescreen of pseudo-democracy, pseudo-capitalism and pseudo-reform, this Russian-Chinese ‘cooperation-blackmail’ strategy is irreconcilably hostile to the West. Again, this is no mere presumption. It was explicitly confirmed in May 1994 to Clark Bowers, a member of an official US Republican delegation to Peking, by Mr Mo Xiusong, Vice Chairman of the Chinese Communist Party, who is believed to be the highest-ranking Chinese Communist official ever to have answered questions put to him by a knowledgeable Western expert on Communism:

BOWERS: Is the long-term aim of the Chinese Communist Party still world Communism?

Mo XIUSONG: Yes, of course. That is the reason we exist.” – “The Perestroika Deception” (1995), by KGB defector Major Anatoliy Golitsyn.

“Since at least the early 1970s, the Communist party of China has been poised to create a spectacular but controlled “democratization” at any appropriate time. The party had by then spent two decades consolidating its power, building a network of informants and agents that permeate every aspect of Chinese life, both in the cities and in the countryside. Government control is now so complete that it will not be seriously disturbed by free speech and democratic elections; power can now be exerted through the all-pervasive but largely invisible infrastructure of control. A transition to an apparently new system, using dialectical tactics, is now starting to occur.” — Playing the China Card (The New American, Jan. 1, 1991).

When the Communist government in Beijing “collapses”, Taiwan will be stymied from not joining the mainland.

Nov 05, 2012 11:39pm EST  --  Report as abuse
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