STOCKS NEWS US-Big policy week could spell volatility -Goldman

Mon Feb 9, 2009 1:11pm EST
 
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    Stocks on the move [HOT-RTRS] Real-Time Equity news [U E] 
    U.S. stock market report [.N] 
1304 ET-09Feb2009 Goldman suggests S&P 500 calendar trade 
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    A big policy week could spell volatility with a vote on the economic 
stimulus bill and details from the Treasury department on remaining TARP funds 
and Term Asset-Backed Loan Facility expected this week, said Goldman Sachs 
strategists in a note. For short-term upside, they recommend buying S&P 500 
index <.SPX> Feb 925 strike calls and selling Dec 1200 strike calls to help 
fund the trade. The calendar trade offers more upside convexity than a deep 
out-of-the-money call, they said. If the S&P 500 is up 5 percent, they estimate 
a return per $1 premium invested of $7.7 vs. $2 on the 925 call. They noted 
they like selling the December calls to help fund the trade as one-year S&P 500 
implied volatility is still pricing a Depression-era scenario and the 1200 
strike is 38 percent above current S&P 500 levels and well above Goldman's 
portfolio strategy teams year-end price target of 1100. 
    Reuters Messaging: doris.frankel.reuters.com@reuters.net 
 
    1226 ET-09Feb2009  NetApp call options gain traction ahead of earnings 
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    NetApp Inc  shares rose $2.66 percent to $16.57, and the equity's 
call activity increased heading into its results due on Wednesday after 
positive comments in Barron's. NetApp, which provides data-storage technology 
and related software to businesses, is recession resistant, according to a 
Barron's report. An analyst quoted in the financial publication said the 
company could see its sales rise 15 percent to 20 percent in the future, as 
data storage won't see a fall in demand like personal computers. Optionmonster 
co-founder Pete Najarian said the bulk of NetApp's option activity has been in 
the March $22.50 calls, which are some 38 percent out-the-money. In comments on 
the Web site, Najarian also said the June $20 calls also top open interest and 
traded exclusively on the offer. 
   Reuters Messaging: doris.frankel.reuters.com@reuters.net 
    
1158 ET 09Feb2009-Goldman raises price targets on oil companies 
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    Goldman Sachs on Monday raised its price target on a number of oil 
companies, saying the group was near the bottom of its cycle. It said it has 
confidence in a recovery improving in the second half of the year. 
    "With industry capital spending on track to decline sharply in 2009, we 
believe the supply picture looks bullish ... especially as we get closer to the 
second half of the year," it wrote. "Demand data is more mixed, but the second 
derivative is showing signs of turning." 
    The firm raised its target on ExxonMobil , a Dow component, to $80 
from $70, on ConocoPhillips  to $60 from $45 and on Frontier Oil  
to $17 from $12. 
    Reuters Messaging: ryan.vlastelica.reuters.com@reuters.net 
    
1152 ET 09Feb2009-Rio Tinto ADRs fall, Leng won't become chairman 
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    U.S.-listed shares of Rio Tinto   fell on Monday, after it 
said that director Jim Leng had quit and wouldn't become the miner's chairman. 
The news came after Leng objected to a potential deal with Chinalco, the 
company's top shareholder.  Leng was named as Rio Tinto's next chairman about 
three weeks ago. [nSYD422381] 
    The stock slid 5.9 percent to $114.17 on the New York Stock Exchange. 
    Reuters Messaging: ryan.vlastelica.reuters.com@reuters.net 
    
1131 ET-09Feb2009 A bearish bet on Wells Fargo with big ratio put spread 
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    At least one option investor is betting that shares of Wells Fargo  
will move beneath its current share price of $19.02 by March options 
expiration. Earlier in the session, the equity's March $20 and March $10 puts 
turned busy after a strategist bought a substantial 1x2 March $20/$10 ratio put 
spread for $2.60. Volume of the trade was significant as the the March $20 puts 
traded 20,000 times and the March $10 puts traded 40,000 times. It appeared to 
be a new position since volume exceeded open interest. "If so, it represents a 
very bearish bet on the bank, with profits starting to accumulate (at March 
expiration) at $17.40 and the maximum profits at $10," said WhatsTrading.com 
option strategist Frederic Ruffy. 
    Reuters Messaging: doris.frankel.reuters.com@reuters.net 
    
1115 ET 09Feb2009-Insight Enterprises tumbles on outlook 
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    Shares of Insight Enterprises  tumbled over 47 percent to $3.11 on 
Monday after the company forecast fourth-quarter earnings below Wall Street 
estimates and said it will restate earnings for prior years. [nBNG334856] 
    Fourth-quarter earnings of 11 cents a share on revenue of $1.16 billion are 
expected, below analysts' estimates of 27 cents a share and revenue of $1.26 
billion. 
    The company said the restatement stems from historical accounting treatment 
of certain aged trade credits since 1996 and expects to have a cumulative 
restatement effect on earnings of $50 to $70 million. 
    Reuters Messaging:rm://Charles.mikolajczak.reuters.com@reuters.net 
    
1107 ET 09Feb2009-ViroPharma plunges after drug trial results 
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    Shares of ViroPharma Inc  plummeted on Monday, losing nearly half 
their value after the company's antiviral compound miribavir failed to meet the 
main goal of a late-stage study. In the study, which examined patients who have 
had bone marrow transplants, the drug failed to reduce the incidence of 
cytomegalovirus disease when compared to a placebo. [nBNG415239] 
    The stock shed 44.5 percent to $6.78. 
    Reuters Messaging: ryan.vlastelica.reuters.com@reuters.net 
    
1101 ET-09Feb2009 Motorola puts draw interest after execs boost shareholdings 
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    Shares of cellphone maker Motorola Inc  rose 5.93 percent to $4.11 
and in the options market, about 28,000 of the equity's put options have traded 
vs. 2,515 call options, Trade Alert data showed. The activity is scattered in 
the March, April, and July puts at the $4 and $5 strikes and has been in fewer 
than 600 contracts at a time. It looks like a mix of buying and selling follows 
news that the company's top executives bought 725,000 shares last week for 
between $3.67 and $3.83 per share, said WhatsTrading.com option strategist 
Frederic Ruffy. 
    Reuters Messaging: doris.frankel.reuters.com@reuters.net 
 
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