PREVIEW-More cost cuts seen for US hotels as revenues suffer

Wed Jul 15, 2009 12:13pm EDT
 
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* What: U.S. hotel companies report Q2 earnings

* When: Beginning July 16

* Business travel slump hurts room rates

By Deepa Seetharaman

NEW YORK, July 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. hotel industry is likely to report fresh cost cuts this earnings season as sluggish business demand and lower room rates eat into companies' revenues.

Analysts expect hotels' key sales metric, revenue per available room (RevPAR), to be sharply lower in the quarter as the continued drop in business travel forces hotels to rely more on price-sensitive consumers, who demand lower rates.

"In any sector, if your revenue is down the only thing you have is cost cuts," said Chris Woronka, analyst with Deutsche Bank. "I would caution those are getting incrementally tougher as we go through the year."

RevPAR, a measure of room rates and occupancy, could fall as much as 20 percent this quarter, wrote Barclays Capital analyst Felicia Hendrix in a note this week.

Trimming costs helped hotel operators like Marriott International (MAR.N) and Wyndham Worldwide (WYN.N) trounce consensus Wall Street estimates last earnings season. Marriott said it closed restaurants and floors at some hotels, while Wyndham cut marketing and sales employees.

Better-than-expected results helped the Dow Jones U.S. Hotels index .DJUSLG leap more than 50 percent in the period ended June 30.

The latest quarter's cost-cutting could include everything from laying off staff to paring back newspaper delivery, said Susquehanna analyst Robert LaFleur. But with less to cut this time, he and other analysts question how deep the cutbacks can go before wounding hotels' core product: service.

"At the end of the day, it's impossible to cut this level of expenses without to some degree affecting guest service levels," LaFleur said.

Marriott will kick off earnings season on Thursday, while next week bring more detail on the luxury and high-end sector with results from Starwood Hotels & Resorts (HOT.N).

Both companies, as well as Wyndham Worldwide (WYN.N) and Choice Hotels International (CHH.N), are expected to post lower profits for the just-ended quarter.

THE 'AIG EFFECT'

Business travel typically contributes heavily to second- quarter profits and Corporate America's hesitance to travel bodes badly for industry earnings over the next few weeks.  Continued...

 

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