U.S. apparel chains top estimates

Wed May 27, 2009 6:21pm EDT
 
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By Martinne Geller

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Apparel retailers, including Chico's FAS Inc (CHS.N) and American Eagle Outfitters Inc (AEO.N), posted stronger-than-expected quarterly results on Wednesday, as tight cost and inventory management offset sluggish sales.

The news sparked a stock rally in the sector that lost steam as the overall market declined, leaving only a few gainers such as Chico's and Charming Shoppes Inc (CHRS.O).

Expectations have fallen for apparel retailers and manufacturers, which have been among the hardest hit sectors in the recession as consumers trim spending for anything other than essentials like food.

"The bar was set too low -- no one bought anything for six months," said Storehouse Partners analyst Patricia Edwards. "If you lower the bar far enough, anyone can jump over it."

To mitigate the ongoing impact of weak sales, retailers have cut inventories and sharply reduced expenses.

While consumer confidence has improved, unemployment continues to rise, credit remains tight and home values continue to fall, keeping pressure on consumer spending, which makes up more than two-thirds of the U.S. economy.

"We are now two months into fiscal 2010 and there is still tremendous uncertainty regarding how long the current retrenchment in consumer spending will last or how much additional deterioration in personal consumption may occur," said Polo Ralph Lauren Corp (RL.N) Chief Financial officer Tracey Travis.

PROFITS TUMBLE; OUTLOOKS REMAIN CAUTIOUS

Polo Ralph Lauren, a fashion wholesaler and retailer with upscale brands like Polo and Club Monaco, said fourth-quarter net income tumbled to $45 million, or 44 cents per share, from $103.5 million, or $1 per share, a year earlier.

But excluding charges, Polo said it earned 86 cents per share, soaring past analysts' average estimate of 40 cents, according to Reuters Estimates.

Net revenue fell 1 percent to $1.22 billion, hurt by same-store sales declines and the stronger U.S. dollar.

Considering how many Polo customers are luxury shoppers searching for bargains in the wake of the financial crisis, the results are not bad, said Needham & Co analyst Christine Chen.

"Down 1 percent is the new up double digits," Chen said.

Polo declined to forecast earnings due to the uncertain economy, but said for the full year, net revenue would fall at a high single-digit rate.

The outlook is also muted when it comes to teenagers and young adults, who tend to trade down to cheaper brands or be more fickle about their fashion.  Continued...

 
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