UPDATE 2-Fed's Plosser warns that rate cuts are no cure-all
(Adds Plosser comments from Q&A)
PHILADELPHIA, April 18 (Reuters) - The federal funds rate is low enough to boost economic growth as the lagged impact of previous interest rate cuts starts to kick in, Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Charles Plosser said on Friday.
Plosser, speaking at Drexel University's LeBow College of Business, warned against seeing rate cuts as "the solution to most, if not all, economic ills."
The real federal funds rate, or the actual rate minus the expected rate of inflation, is negative for the first time since 2003-2004, Plosser said.
That "accommodative" level "should support the market forces that will bring economic growth back toward its long-term trend," he said.
Despite his cautiously upbeat outlook, Plosser said that forecasting economic growth is harder given current turbulence, and that the credit crunch "has the potential to restrain economic growth going forward."
Although some argue for lower rates as "insurance" in case financial turmoil impedes the transmission of rate cuts to the economy, "determining the appropriate level of such extra accommodation is difficult to quantify," he said.
Plosser voted against the Federal Open Market Committee's decision in March to lower the federal funds overnight target rate by 75 basis points.
While many economists may believe that slowing U.S. economic growth will pull elevated levels of inflation lower, the forecast is highly uncertain, he said on Friday.
"A slowing economy is no guarantee of slowing inflation pressures," he said in response to questions after his speech.
Seeing rate cuts as a cure-all is "a dangerous misconception," he said, adding that that assessment of what monetary policy can achieve "seems to have risen considerably over the years."
"The role of monetary policy is to ensure the stability of the purchasing power of the nation's currency, so that markets are not distorted by inflation," Plosser said.
"To ensure the credibility of monetary policy, we should never ask monetary policy to do more than it can do," he said.
Plosser warned that elevated energy and food prices may be pushing through to more general price pressures and raising inflation expectations.
"My concerns about inflation really tie in to this notion that, if you look at the broader base from which we see price increases, the more concerns I have that it's not these isolated price shocks, but that it's ... broad based," he said. Continued...
