UPDATE 1-Shanghai zinc limit down, copper wilts, LME weighs
(Updates prices, adds other metals, quotes)
By Nick Trevethan
SINGAPORE, Nov 2 (Reuters) - Shanghai zinc tumbled by its 4 percent daily limit on Friday to a contract low, while copper fell on the heels of an almost 3 percent slide in London futures in the previous session and softer equity markets.
Other metals were also under pressure from jitters about rising levels of inventory and a weaker global growth outlook.
January's zinc contract SCFF8, the most active on the Shanghai Futures Exchange, fell to 23,745 yuan ($3,182) a tonne, the lowest since the contract was launched in March, down 4 percent from Thursday's settlement price. By 0216 GMT, Shanghai zinc was at 23,770 yuan, while London Metal Exchange zinc MZN3 was $25 weaker at $2,715, after it lost $80 on Thursday.
"The falling LME price put a lot of pressure on Shanghai zinc. In addition, the physical market is sluggish, and excess stock is going into warehouses," said Li Rong, an analyst at Great Wall Futures.
Stocks of zinc in LME warehouses have jumped nearly 30 percent since last week to more than 77,000 tonnes -- more than two days of global consumption, while copper stocks monitored by the exchange stand at 167,000 tonnes, up nearly 30 percent since early October.
But Shanghai copper inventories are seen falling by around 1,000 tonnes when weekly data are released after the market closes.
Benchmark Shanghai copper SCFF8, fell 1.7 percent or 1,080 yuan from Thursday's close, to 63,330 yuan ($8,489), but copper for delivery in three months on the London Metal Exchange MCU3 pared some of the previous day's $220 fall, rising $20 to $7,520.
"The fall in LME copper has eroded confidence. The peak season of consumption is short this year and the market is worried about the growing LME stockpile," said Ni Yaoxiang, an analyst at Huawen Futures. "Imports and growing production of copper have far surpassed demand."
WEAKER OUTLOOK
Copper was dented by rising stocks, continuing concerns about the U.S. economy and limited Chinese buying, Standard Bank, London, said in a report,.
"Some position squaring is to be expected ahead the weekend, which may see copper recoup some of its losses. In the short term at least, copper appears to be weak," it said.
Economists expect over the next few quarters that the U.S. economy will grow at less than half the surprisingly strong 3.9 percent annual rate in the July-September quarter. [ID:nN01645056]
"The economy grew solidly in the spring and the summer but that strong spell may be history," said Joel Naroff, president of Naroff Economic Advisors in Holland, Pennsylvania.
That softer outlook -- along with a mining sector downgrade to "neutral" from "attractive" by investment bank Goldman Sachs, and the 2.6 percent slide in the Dow Jones Industrial average .DJI -- weighed on mining stocks. [ID:nWNA1526]
BHP Billiton (BHP.AX: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) fell 3.4 percent and Rio Tinto lost 3.7 percent after a 4.6 percent rally in the previous session to a new record high.
LME tin MSN3 fell $50 to $16,450.
The resumption of tin mining in Britain took a step closer with the launch of a new mining company to run South Crofty in the southwestern county of Cornwall.
Western Union Mines Ltd will invest in tunnelling and exploration drilling activities, and more than 50 million pounds ($104.1 million) of investment has been earmarked by the time production is due to restart at the end of 2009. [ID:nL01532113] The technical outlook for tin could turn bearish, Triland Metals said in a report. The brokerage pegged support at $16,450 initially, then $16,300.
"A break through $16,000 would damage upside integrity and could spark speculative long liquidation forcing a test of the $15,600 level." Metal Prices by 0216 GMT: Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2006 Pct chg 07 LME Cu 7520.00 20.00 +0.27 6330.00 18.80 SHFE Cu* 63330.00 -1080.00 -1.68 60080.00 5.41 LME Alum 2536.00 -5.00 -0.20 2805.00 -9.59 SHFE Alum* 18350.00 -120.00 -0.65 20550.00 -10.71 COMEX Cu** 335.60 0.00 +0.00 287.10 16.89 LME Zinc 2715.00 -25.00 -0.91 4230.00 -35.82 SHFE Zinc* 23770.00 -820.00 -3.33 28915.00 -17.79 LME Nickel 32300.00 -100.00 -0.31 33325.00 -3.08 LME Lead 3580.00 10.00 +0.28 1670.00 114.37 LME Tin 16450.00 -50.00 -0.30 11510.00 42.92 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc
SHFE zinc began trading on March 26, 2007 ($1=7.460 yuan) (Additional reporting by Rujun Shen and Alfred Cang in Shanghai)
© Thomson Reuters 2008 All rights reserved








