FACTBOX: U.N. climate panel report's key findings
(Reuters) - Here are key findings on climate change from a February 2 report by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which groups 2,500 researchers from more than 130 nations.
EVIDENCE OF HUMAN CAUSES
* "Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic (human) greenhouse gas concentrations," it says. The IPCC says "very likely" means at least a 90 percent probability.
* "The level of confidence that humans are causing global warming has increased allot," report author Peter Stott said.
TEMPERATURE INCREASES
* It is very likely that extremes such as heat waves and heavy rains will become more frequent.
* "For the first time we have a best estimate of what we can achieve if we keep emissions levels lower," said report chair Susan Solomon.
* The report does not include possible warming from methane, a potent greenhouse gas, escaping from melting permafrost.
* Warming is expected to be greatest over land and at high northern latitudes, and least over the Southern Ocean and North Atlantic.
SEA LEVEL RISES
* The report cites six models with core projections of sea level rises ranging from 7.2 to 23.6 inches this century. That is a narrower and lower band than the 3.5 to 34.6 inch gain forecast in 2001.
* If the Greenland ice sheet melts proportionally to the temperature increases, then sea levels would rise by up to 31.6 inches this century.
* Some models show an ice-free Arctic in summer by 2100, meaning that sea ice floating in the water disappears, but not ice resting on Greenland.
* If the Greenland ice sheet melted completely, that would lead to a 23.1-foot (7 meter) sea level increase.
CHANGING OCEAN CURRENTS
* The report predicts a gradual slow-down this century in ocean currents such as the one which carries warm water to north-west Europe. Continued...
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