* Says U.S. entering recession, forecasting is difficult
* Cuts 2009 estimates for its end-markets
* Profit before charges beats forecasts
* Shares trade slightly higher
(Adds executive and analyst comment, stock reaction)
NEW YORK, Oct 20 Diversified manufacturer Eaton
Corp (ETN.N) issued a fourth-quarter profit forecast that fell
short of expectations on Monday, even as it reported
higher-than-expected quarterly earnings amid strength in its
electrical and hydraulic segments.
The company also reduced estimates of its end-markets'
performance in 2009, but Eaton shares gained amid relief the
reductions were not as deep as they could have been.
"We saw ... credit markets render an early economic
forecast almost irrelevant," Chief Executive Sandy Cutler said
on a conference call, adding the current environment made
forecasting difficult. "We now believe instead of a third-
quarter resurgence in the U.S. economy, we are entering a
period of recession."
Cleveland-based Eaton, whose products range from industrial
automation technology to hydraulics used in airplanes and truck
drivetrain systems, said its end-markets could decline in 2009,
compared with its earlier forecast of 4 percent to 5 percent
The company, which relies on detailed economic forecasts
for its planning, said it expected the U.S. economy to begin to
recover by the second half of 2009. It expects emerging markets
to grow at a slower pace next year, estimating China's economic
growth, for example, at 8.5 percent, down from more than
10-percent growth in recent quarters.
It estimated fourth-quarter operating earnings before
charges of $1.70 to $1.80 per share, below analyst estimates of
Eaton said third-quarter net earnings rose 22 percent to
$315 million, or $1.87 per share, compared with $258 million,
or $1.71 per share a year earlier.
Operating earnings, stripping out acquisition-related
charges, were $1.95 per share. On that basis, analysts, on
average, expected profit of $1.89 per share, according to
Revenue rose 25 percent to $4.11 billion, compared with
Wall Street forecasts for sales of 4.14 billion. Acquisitions
accounted for the bulk of the sales advance.
Eaton shares, which have lost some 18 percent of their
value this month, were up 32 cents at $44.74 in early trading
on the New York Stock Exchange.
"Though the stock does not look expensive, we don't think
it can outperform without coming to a sense of where earnings
will trough, and it's too early to have any conviction on that
front," Morgan Stanley analysts wrote in a research note.
(Reporting by Nick Zieminski; Editing by Derek Caney and