By Edward Krudy and Alistair Barr
NEW YORK May 18 Shorting the Facebook IPO on
its first day of trading is not for the faint of heart, but some
traders are trying.
As the hottest initial public offering in recent memory,
Facebook has drawn 1990s-style tech-mania interest from
mom and pop investors and big institutions alike.
That intense appeal means short-sellers are both attracted
by the stock's high valuation and wary, at least for now.
"I have no interest in shorting a cultural phenomenon,"
hedge fund manager Jeffrey Matthews of Ram Partners in
Greenwich, Connecticut, told Reuters in an email interview.
Asked if this was because such stocks trade without regard
to normal market valuation, he wrote back, "Bingo."
Short sellers bet against shares by borrowing the security,
then selling it. If the stock drops, they buy it back at the
lower price, return it to the lender and pocket the difference
Shorts looking to bet against Facebook early face an uphill
battle. Traders interviewed said the stock was going to be hard
to borrow, at least for a few days, and only the best-sourced
hedge fund managers will able to find lenders.
A prime broker at one of the top underwriters of the IPO
said the firm would not be lending shares, at least until the
initial settlement in three business days.
"I don't know how many shares will be available for
shorting," said the broker, who requested anonymity. "We would
only provide them once the deal has stabilized."
The bigger-than-usual percentage of retail-investor
ownership of the shares may make shorting more difficult, as
those investors don't tend to lend their shares for those who
want to take a short bet.
"It will likely be difficult to get shares to borrow," said
Adam Reed, professor of finance at UNC Kenan-Flagler Business
School in Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
"In our research, we found that around 70 percent of IPOs
are borrowable on the first day, but many of those names were
only borrowable by well-placed investors."
Those who are able to short need nerves of steel. The
borrowing cost will be high, and short-sellers may find the
trade hard to unwind by buying back the stock in the open
market, and could face a lender calling in their shorts if the
stock rallies sharply.
Still, some are trying to short Facebook on Day One.
"I'm doing the legwork now and calling all the brokers,"
said a hedge fund manager late on Thursday, after Facebook
priced its IPO at $38 per share. "Goldman and Credit Suisse are
our prime brokers, so I am in contact with them about this."
"This is about as bubbly as you can get," he said. "My
mother asked me if she could get Facebook shares and she has
never been interested in IPOs before. A cab driver asked me
about the IPO too. That's when you want to short it."
The hedge fund manager asked not to be named as he expected
to be involved in shorting the stock on Friday.
At the $38-a-share IPO price, Facebook would trade at over
100 times historical earnings, versus Apple Inc's 14
times and Google Inc's 19 times.
Facebook shares traded at $41.06 in early-afternoon dealings
on Friday, up about 8 percent.
Some hedge funds, remembering the heady days of the tech
bubble in the late 1990s, have been sensing blood in the water
in the recent flurry of social media and networking IPOs,
including Groupon, LinkedIn, and Zygna
Many believe those stocks' valuations are too high, given
expectations for their growth and revenue outlook.
Some traders who can't short Facebook shares early may be
betting against these other social media stocks instead,
according to Max Wolff, a senior analyst at GreenCrest Capital.
Zynga shares plunged more than 13 percent in early trading
on Friday and were down 5.7 percent in the afternoon. Groupon
and Pandora Media were off at least 4 percent.
Zynga's social games currently account for more than 10
percent of Facebook revenue and profit, so traders may be
focusing most on Zynga shares and options as an alternative to
"Zynga options have high skew right now. That's the pricing
difference between out-of-the-money puts and out-of-the-money
calls," said Ralph Edwards, director, derivatives strategy at
ITG. "This typically means people are looking for Facebook to
kind of spill over to Zynga. If Facebook catches a cold then
Zynga gets pneumonia."
Still, even among the skeptical, there is a good deal of
caution in facing down a stampede of hopeful long investors. As
economist John Maynard Keynes famously noted, the market can
stay irrational longer than investors can stay solvent.
"Facebook is the kind of stock that, if you don't like it,
you simply avoid it," said Mohannad Aama, managing director at
Beam Capital Management LLC in New York.