Will Russia's new president be his own man?

Mon Mar 3, 2008 8:40am EST
 
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By Michael Stott - Analysis

MOSCOW (Reuters) - Russia's next president will start off in a double act with his predecessor and mentor Vladimir Putin, but over time Dmitry Medvedev may evolve into a different leader.

Medvedev, a 42-year-old lawyer, won an easy victory in Sunday's presidential election and lost no time in appearing on stage together with his boss at a victory rock concert in Red Square, pledging a "direct continuation" of his policies.

Analysts say it remains to be seen whether that will be the case once Medvedev gets his hands on the levers of power and his fingers on Russia's nuclear trigger.

Putin himself was initially viewed as a safe option who could be easily manipulated by then-president Boris Yeltsin's inner circle when he was plucked from obscurity in 1999 and thrust into the presidency.

Within a year, he had changed direction dramatically, centralizing control in the Kremlin, clamping down on free media and the opposition, and pursuing a hawkish line with the West.

Now Putin, a 55-year-old former KGB spy with a liking for martial arts and the military, has chosen a man from a different generation with a different style to succeed him after serving the maximum two consecutive terms allowed by the constitution.

Though Putin has said he will serve as Medvedev's prime minister, some analysts believe this could be more to help his protege find his feet than to control him as a puppetmaster.

Georgy Satarov, an adviser to Boris Yeltsin and head of the INDEM think tank, told Reuters: "I do not think that if this scheme (of Putin as PM under Medvedev) is implemented, it is intended for any long period of functioning."  Continued...

 
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