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GLOBAL MARKETS-Raw fear pummels stocks, helps bonds

Thu Sep 18, 2008 12:12am EDT

Stocks

   

* Scramble for Treasuries pushes bill yields near to zero

* MSCI all-country world index at lowest since Nov 2005

* Morgan Stanley, WaMu reportedly on auction block

* U.S. investor 'fear barometer' at near 6-year high (Repeats to wider coding, with no changes to text)

By Kevin Plumberg

HONG KONG, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Asian stocks tumbled 3-7 percent on Thursday, with emergency actions by central banks and governments around the world failing to ease a financial crisis that has sent investors fleeing to government bonds.

The seismic shift on Wall Street this week continued to create a sense of global panic, with frenetic consolidation in the financial sector in the world's largest economy, sending the MSCI all-country world stocks index .MIWD00000PUS to its lowest since November 2005.

Investors piled into short-term U.S. Treasuries, pushing yields down close to zero as investors bailed from money market funds. Even the Federal Reserve had to receive a $40 billion injection from the U.S. Treasury to help it manage its balance sheet, after the Fed offered $85 billion in loans to rescue American International Group (AIG.N) on Wednesday.

Overnight, No. 2 U.S. investment bank Morgan Stanley (MS.N) and top U.S. savings and loan Washington Mutual (WM.N) were reportedly up for sale, and a source familiar with the matter said Britain's Lloyds TSB (LLOY.L) agreed to buy rival HBOS HBOS.L, reflecting the unstable landscape that has contributed to gold's 18 percent surge in the last week. [ID:nN17533580]

"Credit fears have now reached a climax. It's presumptuous to assume it would end in one day," said Harushige Kobayashi, head of research department at broker Securities Japan.

"The market ignores fundamentals and is now 95 percent driven by psychological factors."

The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index .VIX or VIX, Wall Street's main barometer of investor fear, closed on Wednesday at its highest level in almost six years.

Another measure of investor distaste for risk, the TED spread of 3-month interbank lending rates over 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yields blew out to more than 300 basis points, far exceeding levels reached during the U.S. savings and loan crisis of the 1980s.

Japan's Nikkei share average .N225 fell 3.6 percent to a three-year low early on Thursday, with shares in high-profile exporters such as Sony (6758.T) and Honda Motor Co (7267.T) the biggest drags.

The MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan stocks index .MIAPJ0000PUS fell 3.9 percent to its lowest since July 2006. The index is down 39.3 percent so far this year.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index .HSI dropped 6.6 percent to the lowest in two years, led by HSBC stock, down 5.9 percent.

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (1398.HK), which gave up its title of world's biggest bank to HSBC on Wednesday, saw its shares drop 12 percent.

Russia on Wednesday halted stock and bond trading on the country's MICEX and RTS exchanges as investors and dealers desperately liquidated positions for cash. It was not clear when the exchanges would open again.

NO SAFETY

Gold prices were whipsawed in the spot market, slipping 0.4 percent after earlier rising to a 1-month high XAU=. Gold posted its biggest nominal rise ever in dollars on Wednesday as frenzied investors sought relatively safe assets.

"This is stunning, and testimony to these historic times," said Alan Ruskin, chief international strategist with RBS Greenwich Capital, in a note. "It is clear that fear and a desperate search for a hedge against risk has trumped all."

Central banks in Japan and Australia pumped $17 billion into money markets to prevent banks of hoarding cash amid an environment of distrust and uncertainty. [ID:nSP283088]

Fear of the unknown has also pushed investors to government bonds, chasing safety above all else, even yield. U.S. Treasury bill yields inched toward zero.

One-month Treasury yields US1MTY=RR dipped to 0.010 percent, from 0.040 percent late in New York on Wednesday, when it may have actually traded at negative levels, according to dealers.

"This corner of the cash market is significant because its a rich, deep pool of liquidity that is tapped by insurance funds, banks and brokers. Stress here signals another impediment to vital liquidity," said Brett Williams, credit analyst with BNP Paribas in Hong Kong.

Investors are quickly learning that in the current crisis almost nothing is safe, even U.S. money market funds.

Late Wednesday, Moody's Investors Service sharply downgraded the Reserve Primary Fund after it fell below $1 a share in net asset value due to losses on debt issued by Lehman Brothers LEH.P, which has filed for bankruptcy protection.

Crude oil CLc1 held steady at a little above $97 a barrel after jumping $6 on Wednesday.



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