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POLL-Cellphone market to fall 13.6 pct in Q2

Wed Jul 8, 2009 3:48am EDT

* Q2 mkt consensus down 13.6 pct vs 14.5 pct seen on May 20

* 2009 sales seen down 9.6 pct vs 10.3 pct in May 20 poll

* consensus for all but Sony Ericsson has risen

TALLINN, July 8 (Reuters) - Handset vendors' phone sales in the April-June quarter are expected to have fallen 13.6 percent from a year ago as consumers cut spending on new gadgets in the recession, a Reuters poll of 32 analysts showed on Wednesday.

The poll forecast 2009 sales would slide 9.6 percent to 1.094 billion phones. Both estimates are slightly ahead of a poll published on May 20. [nLK616446]

The following estimates are in millions of phones and were gathered between June 30 and July 7:

SECOND QUARTER

Mean Median High Low No. Yr ago Global market 261.7 262 273 248 24 303* - Nokia 99.3 99.3 103.8 95.0 30 122.0 - Samsung 48.0 47.7 50.3 45.0 15 45.7 - LG 25.6 25 29.4 23.4 15 27.7 - Sony Ericsson 15.7 15.2 22.0 13.9 23 24.4 - Motorola 16.0 14.8 27.0 12.5 18 28.1 * estimate by Nokia

FY2009

Mean Median High Low No. Yr ago Global market 1,094 1 090 1 146 1 062 24 1,210 - Nokia 420.5 418.0 515.4 374.0 29 468.4 - Samsung 203.2 201.3 216.0 189.0 15 197.0 - LG 104.0 104.1 116.0 93.5 15 100.8 - Sony Ericsson 67.5 65.5 104.0 59.0 23 96.6 - Motorola 66.2 63.0 110.0 53.2 18 100.0

FY2010

Mean Median High Low No. Global market 1,153 1,141 1,248 1,075 22 - Nokia 451.6 450.0 498.0 352.9 27 - Samsung 216.7 217.5 226.0 205.0 14 - LG 112.7 112.5 129.8 94.8 14 - Sony Ericsson 73.0 71.9 95.5 56.9 22 - Motorola 70.6 70.0 122.0 44.4 17

Analysts from the following banks and brokerages contributed to the poll: BBVA Bolsa, Carnegie, Credit Suisse, CSS Insight, Erik Penser, Exane BNP Paribas, FIM, First Global, Grupo Santander, Iber Securities, JP Morgan, Kepler Capital Markets, LBBW, Mirae Asset, Natixis, Nomura Securities, Oppenheimer & Co INC., Piper Jaffrey, Raymond James, RBC Capital Markets, Redeye, Royal Bank of Scotland, Sal. Oppenheim, Sanford Bernstein & CO, Scotia Capital, SEB Enskilda, SP Equity Research, Strategy Analytics, Swedbank, UBS, UniCredit and Ohman Fondkommission.

Data for Reuters Nordics earnings polls compiled by Inquiry Financial Intelligence.

For more details on the data, please click on www.ConsensusEstimates.com.

(Reporting by Tarmo Virki; editing by Elaine Hardcastle)

((tarmo.virki@thomsonreuters.com, +358-9-680 50 235, Reuters messaging: tarmo.virki.reuters.com@reuters.net)) Keywords: HANDSETS/ Keywords: HANDSETS/

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