NAPERVILLE, Ill., Oct. 19 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- The recent financial
crisis has outdone the Great Depression in creating misery, according to a new
index unveiled today by Calamos Investments.
The global asset management firm introduced its "new misery index" in a
quarterly outlook report posted on its website. The index adds the variable
of personal net worth to the traditionally combined impact of inflation and
unemployment. Unlike the old index, the updated version shows a sharp
increase in recent personal economic pain.
"Understanding what's going on today may give us a better perspective on
future economic possibilities and market opportunities," said Nick P. Calamos,
Senior Executive Vice President and Co-Chief Investment Officer, who authored
the report, along with John P. Calamos, Chairman, CEO and Co-Chief Investment
Officer. "We tracked down household net worth figures back to 1928 and
combined them with the old misery index. The result indicates that the initial
economic shock of the past year and a half has created a spike in "misery"
more acute than during any other period we considered, including the Great
Depression, though unlikely to last as long."
The old misery index showed 1973-1981 was the roughest period for households
since the Depression, but portrayed 2008 as relatively mild despite the onset
of the global financial crisis.
"Clearly, this index needed some updating," they said. "This current crisis
has been extraordinary by many economic measures. Misery is not only
inflation and unemployment but also a decrease in net worth... This episodic
shock has been defined by its dramatic negative impact on household net worth
as housing, financial assets, pensions, real estate and just about every risk
asset has declined significantly."
Fortunately, current misery may not last as long as the Depression-level
misery.
"We believe it is unlikely that misery will persist at this high level for as
long as it did during the Depression," they said. "Nonetheless, the new
misery index illustrates the true, punishing impact on the economy and the
average household, especially those Baby Boomers who are nearing or entering
retirement age. The time for these individuals to rebuild net worth is short,
so the savings rate should remain high for the foreseeable future. Keep in
mind this is a volatile index and rebounds can occur quickly."
To view the entire Market Review and Outlook, including charts showing the old
misery index and the new misery index, visit the Calamos web site or click
this link:
http://fundinvestor.calamos.com/outlook.aspx.
About Calamos Asset Management, Inc.
Calamos Asset Management, Inc. (NASDAQ:CLMS) is a globally diversified
investment firm offering equity, fixed income, convertible and alternative
investment strategies, among others. The firm serves institutions and
individuals around the world via separately managed accounts and a family of
open-end and closed-end funds, offering a risk-managed approach to capital
appreciation and income- producing strategies. For more information, visit
http://www.calamos.com.
SOURCE Calamos Asset Management, Inc.
Chris Allen of Calamos Asset Management, Inc., +1-630-245-1057,
callen@calamos.com
