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IMF to cut U.S., Europe growth estimates - report

Sat Dec 22, 2007 11:02am EST

FRANKFURT, Dec 22 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund will cut its estimates for economic growth in 2008 in the United States and Europe again because of the credit crisis, its chief economist told Boersen-Zeitung newspaper.

Bonds

"We will not be able to stick to the estimate of growth of 1.9 percent for the United States nor to the (estimate) of 2.1 percent for Europe," Chief Economist Simon Johnson said, according to the German newspaper.

News detrimental to economic growth has prevailed since October, when the IMF last cut its estimates for economic growth, Johnson said. The IMF will give its new estimates in January, he said.

To what extent the subprime crisis, related to risky U.S. housing loans, will spill over to the European economy still remained to be seen, but the strong euro was an additional burden for the continent's economy, the paper reported Johnson as saying.

A further decline in the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar would be necessary, as it remains overvalued, while it would also help to rectify global imbalances, Johnson said, according to Boersen-Zeitung.

The IMF considers the Chinese yuan overvalued and an oil price of 60 to 70 U.S. dollars would be desirable, he said.

IMF's Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said on Friday global financial stability had taken a blow from the subprime crisis and European and U.S. growth would be weaker as a result. (Reporting by Peter Dinkloh, editing by Mike Peacock)



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