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FOREX-Auto-driven economic, stock worries lift yen, dlr

Wed Nov 19, 2008 4:22am EST

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Stocks  |  Currencies

* Economy, equity caution lifts yen, supports dollar

* Fed, BoE minutes to offer clues on future US, UK rates

* Dlr slips to 96.65 yen JPY=, euro off at $1.2604 EUR=

By Jamie McGeever

LONDON, Nov 19 (Reuters) - The dollar inched up against a basket of major currencies and the yen strengthened broadly on Wednesday as deepening unease about the world economy put stock markets back under downward pressure.

Asian and European stock markets disregarded a late rally the previous day on Wall Street to trade in the red on Wednesday, while U.S. stock futures pointed to a weak open.

The yen was the main beneficiary of this renewed uncertainty, fuelled by growing concern over the U.S. auto industry which is seeking billions of dollars in government aid to steer it from the brink of disaster.

Top executives at General Motors GM.N, Ford (F.N) and Chrysler [CBS.UL] warned Congress that their industry was in serious trouble. (For details please double click on [ID:nN18548335])

Economic underperformance, financial market weakness and asset deleveraging have boosted the yen lately as investors cut back on carry trades to seek safety and liquidity in the currency that enjoys one of the world's largest current account surpluses.

The dollar has also held up in this environment because U.S. investors have liquidated foreign asset holdings and brought cash back home. U.S. Treasury data on Tuesday showed a total net inflow of $143.4 billion in September, the largest since early 2006.

Currency traders will also look to minutes from the last policy meetings of the Federal Reserve and Bank of England on Wednesday for clues about how deeply and how quickly interest rates are likely to be cut again.

"The concerns pertaining to the U.S. auto sector are weighing on markets to a certain degree," said Phyllis Papadavid, currency strategist at Societe Generale. "We continue to be positive on the yen, especially against the euro."

At 0900 GMT the dollar was down a third of a percent against the yen at 96.60 yen JPY=, and the euro was down half a percent at 121.90 yen EURJPY=.

The euro was down 0.1 percent against the dollar on the day at $1.2604 EUR= and the dollar index, a measure of the greenback's value against six major units, was up 0.1 percent at 87.24 .DXY.

STEERING THE DOLLAR

U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson reiterated on Tuesday his opposition to diverting funds from a $700 billion financial bailout programme to rescue Detroit on doubts about the automakers' ability to repay the money and on general resistance to spending more taxpayer money on corporate bailouts. [ID:nLI346084]

Some analysts argue that bankruptcy at one of the "Big Three" U.S. automakers would touch off a cascade of failures that would cost tens of thousands of jobs and make the economic downturn even steeper.

But others warn that diverting funds of the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program away from supporting the financial system could unleash even greater market and economic turmoil.

"Without such (broad fiscally stimulative) action, we fear that the U.S. policy could lose credibility leading to eventual declines in the dollar," UBS strategists wrote in a note on Wednesday.

At 0930 GMT the Bank of England will release minutes from its last monetary policy meeting, at which it slashed interest rates by 150 basis points to 3.0 percent.

Any concerns about further economic deterioration expressed in the minutes could fuel speculation of more aggressive BoE interest rate cuts and support the yen's strength against European currencies, analysts said.

In the United States, the latest snapshot of the housing sector -- a root cause of the credit crisis -- and consumer price inflation are also on tap. See [ECON].



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