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Mexico stocks slip on U.S. worries; peso firms

Fri Jul 4, 2008 5:01pm EDT

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MEXICO CITY, July 4 (Reuters) - Mexican stocks fell on Friday as steadying oil prices failed to abate concerns that more costly fuel could hobble the economy in the United States, Mexico's main trading partner.

Stocks  |  Bonds  |  Global Markets

The benchmark IPC stock index .MXX closed 0.45 percent lower at 28,338.12 points, marking its fourth straight day of losses and a four-month low. Trading was volatile in low volume with U.S. markets closed for the Independence Day holiday.

The peso MXN= MEX01 firmed 0.21 percent to 10.3335 per dollar.

U.S. light crude CLc1 retreated more than $1 a barrel on Thursday after setting a record above $145 a barrel.

But the pullback provided little comfort to investors worried that the 50 percent rise in crude prices this year will push American consumers to spend less on other goods, and further weaken the slowing U.S. economy.

"It's not the price today that's the worry, but what is ahead. We are talking about prices of $200 per barrel in a not-so-distant future," one trader in Mexico City said.

A prolonged slowdown in the United States, where growth has weakened amid a housing downturn and a credit crunch, would likely drag on the economy in Mexico, which sends more than 80 percent of its exports to its northern neighbor.

The peso gained as investors bet a weak U.S. economy will keep the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates any time soon despite the inflationary pressures from higher oil prices.

While the United States is seen staying on hold, Mexico's central bank may raise interest rates as soon as its next monthly policy meeting on July 18.

"The spread between local and North American rates could stay the same, or even get wider," one peso trader said.

Mexico's peso has strengthened 5.4 percent so far this year as the Federal Reserve cut interest rates to prop up the U.S. economy while Mexico's central bank held rates steady and then raised rates in June to fight rising inflation.

That has pushed the spread between benchmark U.S. and Mexican interest rates wider, making peso-denominated assets more attractive to investors that borrow in low-yielding currencies.

In debt trading, the government's benchmark 10-year peso bond MX10YT=RR lost 0.058 of a point to price at 91.075, pushing its yield up 1 basis point to 9.17 percent.

In stock trading, shares of America Movil (AMXL.MX), Latin America's biggest cell phone operator, slipped 0.94 percent to 26.42 pesos.

Grupo Carso GCASROA1.MX, a holding company used by Mexican tycoon Carlos Slim to control his industrial and retail interests, lost 3.15 percent to 44.01 pesos.

Among gainers, miner Penoles (PENOLES.MX) gained 3.9 percent to 271.23 after BBVA Bancomer changed its rating from "inferior to market" to "buy." (Reporting by Michael O'Boyle; editing by Gary Crosse)



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