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August producer prices dip, home builders gloomy

WASHINGTON
Tue Sep 18, 2007 4:50pm EDT
A passenger plane is assembled at Boeing's Everett, Washington plant May 21, 2007. Producer prices fell by a much larger-than-expected 1.4 percent in August as energy prices slumped, government data showed on Tuesday, giving the Federal Reserve good news as it weighs an interest rate cut. REUTERS/Robert Sorbo

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - August producer prices fell sharply and home builders became more worried about their sales outlook, data on Tuesday showed, in a gloomy picture for U.S. growth that the Federal Reserve underlined by slashing interest rates.

The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market index dipped two points to 20 in September, the National Association of Home Builders said in a statement, matching a record low of January 1991 when the economy was mired in recession.

"Builders are expressing concern that home buyers are getting spooked by the many headlines they are seeing on mortgage market issues," said NAHB President Brian Catalde.

A reading of the index below 50 means more builders view market conditions as poor than favorable.

The U.S. central bank cut its target overnight fed funds rate by half a percentage point to 4.75 percent in a move it said was designed to help forestall adverse effects from financial market turbulence churned by the housing slump.

U.S. Treasury prices and the dollar fell on the news while stocks soared, extending gains on results from U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers Holdings LEH.N that allayed worries about the depth of credit market turmoil and on expectations of a Fed rate cut.

INFLATION WATCH

Policy-makers said some inflation risks remained and developments would be monitored carefully.

Analysts said the latest inflation readings will comfort the central bank. Prices facing producers fell a much larger-than-forecast 1.4 percent in August as energy costs slumped.

It was the largest drop in producer prices since a 1.5 percent dip in October 2006, while the 6.6 percent decline in finished energy goods prices last month was the sharpest since an 8.0 fall in April 2003, the Labor Department said.

Oil prices have since rebounded and U.S. crude oil notched a fresh record on Tuesday of $82.16 a barrel, sending a warning that inflation is still at risk from energy prices. But analysts focused on the headline producer price decline.

"The better news inside the data is that pricing in the pipeline eases noticeably," Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at IDEAglobal, said in a note to customers.

Economists polled by Reuters had expected producer prices -- a gauge of the prices paid at the farm and factory gate -- to fall 0.2 percent last month after an unrevised 0.6 percent gain in July.

The data was released a day ahead of the closely watched consumer inflation report, which analysts polled by Reuters forecast to be unchanged in August after rising 0.1 percent the previous month.

Stripping out volatile food and energy costs, producer prices rose 0.2 percent in August following an unrevised 0.1 percent increase in July. Economists had expected a rise of 0.1 percent last month.

SUBPRIME PAIN

A closely watched quarterly earnings report from Lehman Brothers confirmed that the meltdown in the subprime mortgage market and subsequent credit squeeze were hurting profits at U.S. securities firms.

Still, the 3.2 percent drop in Lehman's earnings from the year before was not as steep as Wall Street had expected and the investment bank said the worst of the credit correction was over, allaying investors' worst fears for the moment .

U.S. Treasury market data separately showed that foreign enthusiasm for U.S. debt may have been ebbing even before the full extent of the subprime woes surfaced last month. Foreign investors bought a net $19.2 billion in long-term U.S. securities in July, the lowest in seven months.

Other data on Tuesday also signaled weakness in the wider economy. Research firm RealtyTrac said U.S. home foreclosure filings rose 36 percent in August to 243,947, the highest since it began its monthly report in January 2005 and 115 percent above the year-ago level.

That translates into one foreclosure filing in August for every 510 households, also a high for the RealtyTrac report.



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