• Most Popular
  • Most Shared

UPDATE 2-Mexico 1st-half Oct consumer prices rise 0.32 pct

Wed Oct 24, 2007 12:59pm EDT

(Recasts; adds details, background)

Bonds

MEXICO CITY, Oct 24 (Reuters) - Mexican consumer prices rose slightly less than expected in early October, but a jump in costs for milk and cigarettes sent closely-watched core inflation higher, the central bank on Wednesday.

The mixed data comes as investors seek to gauge whether the bank could raise interest rates later in the week, and analysts said the figures could be read either way.

Prices have been rising for much of the last year at a faster annual clip than the 4 percent rate that central bank says it can tolerate.

During the first half of October, the consumer price index rose 0.32 percent, a tick lower than the 0.33 percent forecast by 23 analysts in a Reuters poll.

That brought annualized inflation down to 3.64 percent through the first half of the month, from 3.79 percent a month ago.

"This gives the central bank some room to maneuver. We think they will hold rates steady," said Octavio Gutierrez, an economist at BBVA Bancomer in Mexico City.

At the same time, core inflation, which strips out some volatile food and energy prices, was 0.21 percent during the first half of the month, higher than the 0.14 percent forecast by analysts.

Many economists consider core prices an indicator of future inflation trends, and some said the reading for early October could push the central bank to hike interest rates at its next policy review on Friday.

"This reinforces our expectation that the central bank will tighten its policy this month," said Rafael Camarena, an economist at Santander in Mexico City.

The price of the benchmark 10-year government peso bond MX10YT=RR fell on the reading, down 0.121 of a point to bid 101.002. The bond's yield, which moves inversely to its price, rose 2 basis points to 7.83 percent.



More from Reuters

Joint Terminal Attack Controller SSgt Clinton J. Herbison, a U.S. Airman from the 817 Expeditionary Air Support Operations Squadron (EASOS) takes a break during a night mission near Honaker Miracle camp at the Pesh valley of Kunar Province August 12, 2009. Credit: REUTERS/Carlos Barria

Pictures of the Year

A look at the best photos of 2009.  Slideshow 

    The Dalai Lama jokes with a nasal spray after being asked his opinion on the swine flu during a press conference after his first lecture in Lausanne, Switzerland, August 4, 2009. REUTERS/ Valentin Flauraud

    What a wacky year it's been...

    Um, what's up the Dalai Lama's nose? "Oddly Enough" editor Bob Basler rounds up the goofiest photos of the year.  Full Article 

    A caution sign is seen next to a stock board at the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) in Sydney September 5, 2008. REUTERS/Daniel Munoz
    Political Risk in 2010:

    Don't say we didn't warn you

    With the financial crisis (mostly) in the past, U.S. investors are eying a fresh start to the coming year. Here's a look at what speedbumps lie ahead.  Full Article