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GLOBAL ECONOMY-Japan takes turn for worse,Europe resists-surveys
By Yoko Nishikawa and Brian Love
TOKYO/PARIS, April 1 (Reuters) - Japan's economic prospects took a turn for the worse in March while China and Europe weathered the gloom caused by the U.S. downturn and financial market turmoil better, according to industry surveys.
In Europe, the north-south divide widened as Italy and Spain reported outright contraction in manufacturing in sharp contrast to an acceleration of growth in Germany, and solid if less racy performances in France and Britain.
Most of the information came from business surveys used to produce Purchasing Managers' Indices, monthly measures regarded by many economists as the closest there is to real-time health checks in manufacturing and in services.
A similar report from the United States was due at 1400 GMT and expected to reveal continued contraction. All of that would reinforce the picture of a U.S.-led slowdown that damages global economic growth but less so, so far at least, in robust emerging market economies such as China, and in Europe too.
ASIA'S TWO FACES
In Asia, Japan's PMI index of manufacturing activity slid below 50 in March, signalling shrinking activity.
The drop -- to 49.5 from a barely expansionary 50.8 the previous month -- was just part of the bad news from a heavily export-dependent economy which appears to have run out of steam.
Business sentiment in Japan sank to its lowest in four years because of concern about the financial market turmoil, raw materials costs, faltering share prices and a rise in the yen's exchange rate, another survey by the central bank showed.
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For China, the story was markedly better. The PMI readout on manufacturing in March rose to its highest in almost a year due to a surge in output and new orders.
One PMI index -- there are two in China -- compiled on behalf of the National Bureau of Statistics rose to 58.4 in March, its highest since April 2007, from 53.4 in February.
The other from brokerage CLSA rose to 54.4, a five-month high, from 52.8 in February. Output, new orders and purchasing all posted their strongest gains since October.
In India, an equivalent index showed growth in manufacturing slowed to its weakest rate since last July but that still left the index at a healthy expansionary level many industrialised would envy -- 57.5.
In PMI surveys, 50 is the watershed above which the industry is considered to be expanding, and figures closer to 60 are seen as signs of very healthy expansion.
Another emerging market economy, South Africa, has not been having it so good, and the March reading showed manufacturing sliding further into the red.
EUROPE'S SOFT UNDERBELLY
In Europe, manufacturing activity cooled in March in the euro currency zone while prices pushed higher. Data on Monday showed annual inflation hit a record 3.5 percent in the same month, according to preliminary official estimates.
The PMI reading eased to 52.0 from 52.3 in February.
The index for Spain, the currency's zone's fourth-largest economy, fell sharply and the index for Italy, the third-largest of the euro zone after France and leader Germany, likewise tumbled.
"Germany is holding up reasonably well, while Italy is capitulating and Spain is in free-fall across the economy," said Dominic Bryant, an economist at BNP Paribas. "We are seeing a two-speed manufacturing sector in Europe."
That makes life harder for the ECB as it tries to strike a balance with one interest rate for the entire currency bloc.
While activity hit a seven-month high in Germany and stayed healthy in France, Italy's manufacturing sector slipped into contraction for the first time since June 2005 and Spain's fell for a fourth month, to its lowest since December 2001.
Outside the currency zone, growth in Britain's manufacturing sector remained muted but steady, according to the latest survey of purchasing managers, with the activity index unchanged from February, at 51.3.
There, cost inflation hit a 13-year high and companies raised prices at record rates, the March survey showed.
Inflation concerns are worrying policymakers the world over, as the price of oil remains high and other food and industrial commodities command close-to-record prices.











