Nov 26 - Fitch Ratings has assigned an 'AA+' rating to the following
Milwaukee County, Wisconsin (the county) bonds:
--Approximately $24.1 million general obligation (GO)refunding bonds, series
Bond proceeds will refund the 2014-2019 maturities of the GO bonds, series
2004A, and the 2015-2020 maturities of the GO bonds, series 2005A. The bonds are
expected to sell via competition on Dec. 3.
Fitch has also affirmed the following Milwaukee County ratings:
--Approximately $627.1 million unlimited tax GO bonds at 'AA+';
--$135 million taxable pension note anticipation notes, series 2009B at 'AA'.
The Rating Outlook is Stable.
The GO bonds are secured by the county's full faith and credit and its ad
valorem tax, without limitation as to rate or amount.
The pension notes series 2009B are special obligations of the county, for which
the county has authorized and covenanted to issue securities to repay the series
2009B notes prior to maturity. Interest on the notes is payable from any legally
available funds of the county, subject to annual appropriation. Principal is
payable solely from the issuance of refunding bonds.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
FLEXIBILITY DESPITE NARROW MARGINS: Conservative budgeting and careful
expenditure control have allowed for consistently balanced operations most
years, despite adverse economic conditions and statutory requirements to
appropriate surplus. The county retains considerable margins of flexibility
despite stricter revenue raising constraints imposed by the state.
REGIONAL ECONOMIC ENGINE: Milwaukee County serves as the economic engine for the
surrounding region although post-recession recovery has been slow.
BELOW-AVERAGE SOCIOECONOMIC INDICATORS: Per capita income levels are below
average, as is market value per capita. The unemployment rate remains elevated,
typical of areas historically dependent upon manufacturing.
MANAGEABLE LONG-TERM LIABILITIES: The overall debt burden is above average but
manageable, future capital needs are limited, and principal amortization is
rapid. Pensions are adequately funded, in large part through the issuance of
pension obligation bonds in 2009.
RATING DIFFERENTIATION: The one-notch rating distinction between the GO and the
pension note ratings reflects the annual appropriation risk.
Milwaukee County serves as the regional economic and cultural center for
south-eastern Wisconsin. The city of Milwaukee (rated 'AA' with a Stable
Outlook, by Fitch), which is the county seat of Milwaukee County, accounts for
roughly 48% of the county's total assessed valuation and 63% of its population.
FLEXIBILITY DESPITE NARROW MARGINS
The county's financial operations are characterized by stable operating results
and modest general fund balances, in the range of 4%-5% of spending. Tax rate
limits have been in effect since 1993. The county operates under limitations to
revenue raising and to maintenance of fund balances; however, considerable
fiscal flexibility is provided by the county's ability to reduce spending or
redirect expiring levies for maturing debt, among other sources.
The Stable Outlook assumes management continues to achieve consistently balanced
results within existing constraints. However, future economic or revenue
underperformance or a narrowing of operating flexibility could negatively affect
The fiscal 2013 budget raises the property tax levy by a modest $3.9 million.
Under current restrictions, the county could raise the property tax by another
projected $8 million in fiscal 2014. Additionally, if the county chose to levy
for unlimited tax bond debt service currently supported by sales tax revenues,
it could free up more than $60 million of sales tax revenues for operations.
Liquidity is adequate across funds and no cash flow borrowing is required.
POSITIVE FISCAL TREND DESPITE RESTRICTIONS
The county has recorded nominal general fund operating surpluses after transfers
in four of the past five years despite adverse economic conditions and
revenue-raising constraints, underscoring the county's solid management profile.
Fiscal 2011 general fund results generated a higher than usual net surplus of
$14.8 million, or 1.4% of spending, despite the budgeted appropriation of $4.1
million of general fund balance.
The positive variance was largely the result of cost containment measures, as
revenues underperformed budget for the year. Expenditure-side savings included
the introduction of employee contributions for pension and health care, slow
filling of vacant positions, limitation of overtime, and lower road maintenance
costs due to a mild winter.
The county's revenue streams are diverse with charges for service accounting for
37% of total general fund revenues, followed by intergovernmental revenue at
26%, property tax at 26%, and sales tax revenue at 6%. The county ended 2011
with an improved but still slim 5.7% total general fund balance, somewhat higher
than the 4.0% to 4.5% range recorded in recent years. Given the small financial
cushion, the county's ability to successfully achieve balanced operations will
continue to be crucial to ratings stability.
The adopted 2012 budget included a $5.8 million (2.2%) property tax increase, a
$1.55 million budgeted contingency reserve, and a de minimus amount of
appropriated general fund balance. Officials are projecting to end the year with
a $5.5 million general fund net operating surplus. This projection is mainly
based upon $4.1 million of transit-related savings, health care savings and
better-than-budget sales tax receipts; however, over-budget spending in the
sheriff's department may present a challenge to full realization of the
The adopted fiscal 2013 budget includes a $3.9 million increase in the property
tax levy, appropriates $5.5 million of general fund balance, and includes a $4
million budgeted contingency reserve.
BELOW-AVERAGE SOCIO-ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Wealth levels are below average, largely reflective of the county's urban core.
Per capita income is 89% of the state, and 86.7% of national levels. Housing
values remain under pressure, contributing to the decline in assessed value;
2012-13 assessed value represented a 15.3% drop since the peak in 2009-10. The
September 2012 unemployment rate of 8.0% represented an improvement over the
8.8% recorded one year prior, but remained significantly above both the state
(6.2%) and national (7.6%) averages.
MANAGEABLE LONG-TERM OBLIGATIONS
The aggregate debt burden is elevated at 6.1% of full market value but more
moderate at $3,669 per capita. Approximately 0.6% of the debt burden is
attributable to the pension obligation debt, and represents the exchange of one
type of long-term obligation (unfunded pension liability) for another (bonded
debt). Principal amortization is rapid with 71.3% repaid in 10 years; however,
this is expected to slow somewhat when the note anticipation note portion of the
pension obligation borrowing is fixed early next year.
Debt service accounted for a manageable 9.5% of fiscal 2011 general fund
expenditures, and should remain affordable as the county retires principal in
greater amounts than it issues. The county's five-year capital improvement plan
to be debt financed totals roughly $108 million, which is less than half the
principal retired over same period.
Milwaukee County's long-term liabilities related to employment benefits are
mixed. The county provides pension benefits to its employees through single
employer defined benefit plans. As of January 2012, the unfunded actuarial
accrued liability (UAAL) totaled $314 million or a modest 0.5% of full market
Based on Fitch's more conservative 7% investment return assumption, the pension
plans were 79% funded. The 79% funded ratio is considered adequately
capitalized; however, the ratio was bolstered by $400 million in pension bonds
in 2009 to augment pension assets.
Other post-employment benefits (OPEB) are also offered to retirees and their
dependents. The county contributed $58.2 million, which equaled the
pay-as-you-go amount, in 2011. As of January 2011, the UAAL totaled $1.5 billion
or a meaningful 2.4% of full market value. Recently implemented healthcare plan
design changes for non-represented employees and retirees are expected to reduce
the OPEB liability by $230 million or approximately 15%.
The combined pension and OPEB and debt service payments equaled a reasonable
21.2% of general fund expenditures and transfers out, including amounts
contributed in excess of the ARC.