* Italian, Spanish bonds supported by domestic buying
* Wednesday's Italian sale challenging but seen going
* Recovery seen short-lived as political concerns persist
By Ana Nicolaci da Costa and Emelia Sithole-Matarise
LONDON, Feb 12 Spanish and Italian bonds rose on
Tuesday as some domestic buyers took advantage of a recent
sell-off, but the recovery could be temporary given political
uncertainty in both countries.
Trade in the two periphery nations' paper has been choppy
over the past week as Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy faced
calls to resign over a corruption scandal while in Italy, former
premier Silvio Berlusconi's comeback in polls less than two
weeks before elections has unsettled investors.
Italy had to pay more to borrow one-year funds at an auction
than it did last month. On Wednesday it faces a tougher
challenge, issuing three separate bonds including an offering of
30-year paper for the first time at a regular auction since May
But analysts said the rally this session was a good
indicator of demand, while the sale should benefit from ample
Italian redemption and coupon payments due in February.
"Until yesterday we saw a significant concession. Logically
one would have expected that to continue into today, but today
there was a bit of buying," Ricardo Barbieri, strategist at
"The tone of the market going into those auctions is good."
Ten-year Italian government bond yields were
11 basis points lower at 4.51 percent, having risen 37 basis
points since late January.
The Spanish equivalent was 10 bps lower at
5.34 percent, having fallen 39 bps over the same period.
"We've had some decent buying, mainly domestics in Spain,"
one trader said.
Spanish bond prices showed little reaction to comments by
European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi that Spain was on the
right track towards economic recovery.
He also said the central bank could only consider activating
its bond-purchase programme if there are major problems in the
transmission of its monetary policy.
The ECB's intervention pledge has helped to greatly reduce
Spanish borrowing costs in recent months even though the
sovereign has not yet asked for help - a condition for the
programme to be put into action.
Spanish short-term auction yields were mixed at a sale of 6-
and 12-month bills.
POLITICS CAST SHADOW
The rebound in Italian bonds was, however, expected to
fizzle out as the elections approach, as investors worry that a
strong rally in the polls by Berlusconi could result in a
That could hamper Rome's ability to push through structural
reforms which market analysts say are needed to cut the
country's 2 trillion euro debt pile.
Those concerns were keeping some investors sidelined from
Italian sovereign debt for now.
"We've done a bit (of buying) in Italy. But to do more we
want to see some clarity coming from Italy on the results of the
elections," said Rose Ouahba, head of fixed income at Carmignac
Capital Plus which manages 808 million euros.
"We all know the impact of Berlusconi coming back on the
political scene would be damaging for the Italian spread. We did
not want to increase our exposure for now. We're looking more to
increase our exposure if we have confirmation that we're not
going to have a hung parliament," she said.
Reflecting the defensive view some analysts are taking on
Italy, Unicredit strategists saw scope for further gains in
favouring Irish debt, which rallied sharply last week after
Ireland concluded a bank debt deal that will reduce its
borrowing costs for the next decade.
They moved their "buy" stance on Irish 2018 bonds against
Italy to a spread target of -50 bps from -30 bps.
"The reason for shifting out the target is to let the profit
run and be in the position of capturing the current positive
momentum as well as a possible overshooting of markets sentiment
both in positive terms versus Ireland and in negative terms
versus Italy," they said in a note.
At the euro zone's core, German Bund futures were
30 ticks down on the day at a settlement close of 142.55.
The contract has struggled to decisively break above 143.00
for two consecutive sessions which technical analysts say could
pave the way to 143.15, the 200-day moving average which would
herald further gains.