* Dollar near 8-month trough on U.S. government deadlock
* Prolonged U.S. government shutdown could postpone Fed
* Euro trades near 8-month high, sees minor setbacks
By Anooja Debnath
LONDON, Oct 4 The dollar traded near an
eight-month low on Friday as the U.S. government shutdown
dragged on, while the euro held near its highest level since
February after a run of supportive economic data.
The U.S. currency was on track for its fourth consecutive
week of losses against a basket of currencies. Its index
was marginally up by 0.2 percent at 79.910, but still close to
Thursday's trough of 79.627, its lowest in eight months.
The euro was down 0.2 percent at $1.3595, having
touched a peak of $1.36465 on Thursday, its highest since
February when it scaled this year's high of $1.3711. It has
risen 0.5 percent on the dollar so far this week.
Analysts predicted minor setbacks and some consolidation for
the euro going into the weekend after its recent ascent. Real
money accounts were cited as main sellers of the pair taking it
below the $1.3600 mark.
The dollar saw little respite this week with markets
concerned that the U.S. impasse would merge with a more complex
fight over raising the U.S. debt limit later this month. Failure
to do so may lead to a historic debt default.
Adding to the greenback's woes was data on Thursday that
showed growth in the U.S. service sector had cooled last month.
"No one wants to touch the dollar while we have
uncertainties regarding the U.S. government shutdown. We also
had a disappointing service sector number and that also added to
the negative dollar sentiment," said Niels Christensen, FX
strategist at Nordea.
U.S. Labour Department on Thursday said the employment
report for September will not be released as scheduled on Friday
due to the government shutdown. No new date was set.
Thus, any confirmation of an improving labour market that
the Federal Reserve wants to see before cutting its stimulus,
will likely be delayed, hurting the dollar. Two senior Fed
officials said monetary policy was being kept easier to help
offset the harm caused by political fighting.
"Those who have been expecting (Fed tapering) in October
should be having a bit of panic now. Those who have bet on
December may be worried too," said Katsunori Kitakura, associate
manager of market making at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank.
The dollar's weakness helped support the euro.
The resolution of Italy's latest political crisis, the
European Central Bank refraining from any immediate policy
action to help the economy and this week's data all supported
But Sara Yates, global currency strategist at JPMorgan
Private Bank said the prospect of the Fed eventually trimming
its bond purchase programme could push the benchmark U.S.
10-year Treasury yields to 3.0 percent or higher
next year and support the dollar.
At the same time "sentiment towards Europe will likely
improve but the ECB will stand ready to ease policy to stop
financial conditions from tightening too much," she said, adding
in such a case the euro could target the $1.28 mark.
The dollar was flat against the yen at 97.19 yen
after the Bank of Japan kept rates on hold as was widely