* Dollar nurses losses after jobs data disappoints bulls
* Euro squeezes higher, but wary as ECB policy meeting looms
* Aussie dollar eyes RBA policy review for near-term impetus
(Recasts after start of European trading, changes dateline from
By Patrick Graham
LONDON, Aug 4 The yen and Europe's major
currencies were steady against the dollar on Monday and well off
last week's lows after investors used Friday's robust but
lower-than-forecast U.S. jobs report to rebase after three weeks
The euro was holding most of Friday's gains at $1.3423 in
morning trade in Europe, although London-based dealers and
analysts said it was unlikely to take back much ground ahead of
the European Central Bank's August policy statement on Thursday.
"Thursday's ECB meeting is likely to accentuate the euro's
weakness, in our view," analysts from Barclays said in a note.
"ECB President Mario Draghi is likely to reaffirm the
central bank's commitment to using extraordinary policy measures
to ease monetary conditions, including the prospect of ABS
purchases, and address very low euro area inflation."
U.S. nonfarm payrolls handed the dollar its biggest one-day
fall in nearly a month on Friday, even if they did not do much
to temper expectations for the start of the Federal Reserve's
interest rate-tightening cycle.
The U.S. currency enjoyed its best month in July since
January of last year, feeding expectations it may finally be
ready to rally for the longer-term even if there seems to be
little fuel for another surge this week.
The Fed is thought to be heading steadily toward a first
rise in rates next year, while the European Central Bank may
have to battle falling prices with further monetary easing.
Overall euro zone inflation in July was just 0.4 percent.
"The dollar has gained a lot in the last few weeks so we
were probably due a positioning-led correction," said Geoffrey
Yu, a strategist at Swiss bank UBS in London.
"The inflation report last week did not help the euro but we
don't see any downside catalysts for it (from the ECB) this
week. The main interest is whether the dollar can continue this
The dollar index was last at 81.365, having retreated
from a 10-1/2 month peak of 81.573. It had fallen 0.2 percent on
Friday, a modest decline by any measure but still the biggest
one-day fall in over three weeks.
The pound blipped higher on the back of an upbeat
construction survey but was back under pressure
by midday in London. After a 15 percent gain against the dollar
in the year to July, analysts at major banks are divided on
whether two weeks of falls represent a short-term correction for
the pound or the end of the rally.
Analysts at JP Morgan recommended backing the euro and the
dollar against the pound in a weekly note, pointing to an
economy that was reaching the top of the cycle.
Against the yen, the greenback recoiled to 102.62,
having stretched to a near four-month high of 103.15.
Koji Fukaya, president at FPG Securities in Tokyo, said
dollar/yen popping above the 103 yen threshold several times
last week spelled a departure from the past six months, when the
pair was stuck in a narrow band around 102.
"There is also a trend change in dollar/yen implied
volatility," he said. "Vols have been dropping since the start
of the year, but the downtrend was broken in July and one-year
implied vols briefly rose above 8 percent last week. This could
help initiate moves in the cash market."
One-year dollar/yen implied volatility, or the
expected price swing, fell to a seven-year low of 6.90 percent
in mid-July but rose above 8 percent on Friday, highlighting
expectations of a new trading range in coming weeks.
The Aussie dollar also popped back above 93 U.S. cents
, from two-month lows of $0.9275. After limited reaction
to slightly stronger-than-expected Australian retail sales
figures, Aussie bulls will be looking to a Reserve Bank of
Australia interest rate meeting on Tuesday.
(Editing by Catherine Evans)