* German data help European shares bounce off 2-month lows
* Investors still not clear whether Fed will taper this week
* Euro inches higher vs dollar on euro zone data, Fed looms
By Herbert Lash
NEW YORK, Dec 16 Rising U.S. manufacturing
output last month and a surge in euro zone business activity in
December lifted global equity markets on Monday, while gains in
new orders from purchasing managers in Europe boosted the euro
against the dollar.
Brent crude oil rose more than 1 percent on expectations of
rising demand from the stronger-than-expected European economic
data, while supplies remained cut off from Libya.
American manufacturing output rose 0.6 percent in November,
a fourth straight gain, as production increased almost across
the board, the latest sign the U.S. economy is gaining steam.
Manufacturing combined with a jump in mining and utilities
output to boost industrial production 1.1 percent, the largest
increase since November 2012, the Federal Reserve said.
U.S. equities posted their worst week in nearly four months
last week, a pullback sparked by concerns the Fed may begin to
wind down its stimulus program at a two-day meeting of
policymakers that ends on Wednesday.
"Signs of the recovery are becoming increasing evident, and
the taper could actually be seen as a good thing - a sign of
economic normalization - should the Fed pull the trigger this
week," said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at
Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.
McMillan also said that investor optimism remains high,
which plays into the view that the surge in equities is also due
to a bounce-back from last week and buying on the dip.
In Europe, Markit's Flash Eurozone Composite Purchasing
Managers' Index, a regional gauge of business activity across
thousands of companies large and small, rose to 52.1 in December
from 51.7 last month. New orders rose for a
fifth month, suggesting the recovery should continue into 2014.
European shares rose more than 1 percent, while the Dow and
the Nasdaq also rose that much before paring some gains.
"It's the stronger economic data showing that tapering won't
have as dramatic an impact on the economy as first thought,"
said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc, an
investment advisory firm in Toledo, Ohio.
The steady spate of strong economic data has helped ease
fear in the market that an eventual Fed move to scale back its
bond purchases would harm the economic recovery, Lancz said.
MSCI's all-country world stock index rose
0.60 percent, while the FTSEurofirst 300 closed up 1.26
percent at 1,258.31. The euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50
index jumped 1.95 percent to 2,978.77.
Gains in German blue-chips added the most to the
FTSEurofirst, as Germany's benchmark DAX rose 1.7
percent. Germany has led the euro zone recovery this year, with
the DAX up 20 percent so far in 2013.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average rose
143.40 points, or 0.91 percent, at 15,898.76. The Standard &
Poor's 500 Index was up 12.05 points, or 0.68 percent, at
1,787.37. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 29.45
points, or 0.74 percent, at 4,030.43.
The euro edged higher against the dollar on the euro zone
data showing rising business activity, while uncertainty over
the Fed's bond-buying kept investors wary of the greenback.
Market participants have started to price in the possibility
of a small reduction in the Fed's bond purchases, resulting in a
stronger dollar trend last week.
But Vassili Serebriakov, currency strategist at BNP Paribas
in New York, said much of the dollar buying had already taken
place last week. Fed policymakers meet Dec. 17-18.
"There's no reason to buy the dollar ahead of the Fed
decision and so this is just position adjustment," Serebriakov
said, adding that BNP expects the Fed to start scaling back its
asset purchases in March next year.
The euro rose just shy of $1.38 on Markit's composite
eurozone report and on German manufacturing activity, both of
which beat forecasts in December. The composite data was the
second-highest reading since mid-2011.
The single currency had earlier dipped to around $1.3745
after separate data showed French private-sector activity
The euro was last at $1.3744, just above break-even.
Brent futures rose toward $111 a barrel on Monday. Supply
concerns revived after Libya failed to reach a deal with tribal
leaders to end the blockade of several oil-exporting ports.
Brent crude for January rose $1.69 to $110.52, while
U.S. crude oil for January delivery rose 89 cents to
$97.49 per barrel.
U.S. government bond prices fell, with the 10-year note
3/32 lower to yield 2.8774 percent.
German Bund futures closed flat at 140.22 euros.