* Wheat up fourth straight day, eye on export demand
* Corn harvest seen 89 pct done, soybeans 82 pct
* Soybeans higher by slow farmer selling, firm basis values
* Traders expect Ukraine to ban wheat exports
(Adds forecast for Brazilian soy crop)
By K.T. Arasu
CHICAGO, Oct 22 Chicago wheat futures rose for a
fourth straight session on Monday amid expectations a likely
export ban in Ukraine would shift demand to the United States,
and on concerns over dry weather in the southern Plains bread
Soybeans rallied to recoup Friday's losses as the largest
harvest in the world began to wind down in the United States.
Farmers were storing much of their crop, helping to strengthen
prices in the cash market at some locations in the Midwest.
Cash grains merchandisers said basis bids for soybeans in
Indiana jumped 14 cents per bushel, while in Iowa, they climbed
5 cents. The market was also supported by strong export demand,
led by China, despite concerns over a slowdown in its growth.
U.S. farmers were expected to have completed 89 percent of
their corn harvest by Sunday, and 82 percent of their soybeans,
according to a Reuters poll.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture will update the harvest
progress in its weekly report to be issued on Monday afternoon.
"Basis values are improving and the market typically finds
the lows when we get past 50 percent of the harvest," said Brian
Hoops, president of Midwest Market Solutions.
He was expecting funds to buy corn futures at the Chicago
Board of Trade when the December contract breaks the 50-day
moving average at $7.73-3/4 a bushel - just about 10 cents above
where the contract was trading on Monday morning.
"We are just a dime away from funds coming into the corn
market," he added.
Price for CBOT March soybeans and beyond gained less than
the front months because of expectations for a record-large
soybean crop in Brazil, the world's No 2 exporter, which
typically begins hitting export markets in March.
Brazilian analyst Safras e Mercado raised its estimate of
the country's soybean production to a record 82.5 million tonnes
from 82.3 million in July due to farmers expanding the area to
be planted with the oilseed.
CBOT December wheat gained 0.4 percent to $8.76-1/4 a
bushel by 1:35 p.m. CDT (1835 GMT). November soy climbed
0.8 percent to $15.46 a bushel and December corn edged up
0.13 percent to $7.62 a bushel.
CBOT November soybeans have slumped 14 percent, or
about $2.49, f rom the all-time high of $17.94-3/4 per bushel set
on Sept 4, as timely rains in August boosted yields, leading
fund managers to cut their bullish bets in the market.
The wheat market has been rallying since last week on
speculation by traders that Ukraine, the world's ninth-largest
exporter, would ban exports from Nov. 15 because dry weather
reduced production by about one-third this year.
There was also support from concerns over dry weather in
the Southern Plains wheat belt.
"There's not a whole lot of rain for the next week to 10
days," said John Dee, a meteorologist for Global Weather
Ukraine's agriculture ministry said on Friday that the
current strong pace of wheat exports would exhaust the country's
stocks available for shipping abroad by Nov. 15-20.
It said traders had signed agreements to export 3.57 million
tonnes of wheat as of Oct. 18.
The USDA has forecast Ukraine wheat exports this year at 4
million tonnes on a crop of 15.5 million tonnes.
Traders said Ukraine's likely ban on wheat exports would
also be supportive for corn as a sizable portion of Ukrainian
wheat is used as a corn substitute in feed.
"It is bullish although not a runaway bullish story like two
years ago," Brandon Kliethermes, a senior economist at Global
Insight-IHS said, referring to an export ban by Russia that led
to a significant rally in wheat futures.
"We knew something was coming, that there would be some sort
of export limitations," he said, adding that any ban by Ukraine
could help U.S. corn exports. "U.S. corn is still overpriced but
this (Ukraine ban) could turn the tide."
Russia's agriculture minister, Nikolai Fyodorov, has said he
would oppose any ban on grain exports, quashing speculation the
country could follow Ukraine, RIA Novosti reported.
(Additional reporting by Ivana Sekularac in Amsterdam and
Naveen Thukral in Singapore; editing by Andrew Hay and Maureen