* Nickel up more than 20 pct year to date
* China copper imports jump 10.8 pct y/y in March
* Dovish Fed comments support aluminium, other metals
(Updates with closing prices)
By Harpreet Bhal and Eric Onstad
LONDON, April 10 Nickel prices touched their
highest in more than a year on Thursday as speculators continued
a trend of buying futures on concerns about the potential for
shortages following a ban on ore exports from Indonesia.
Other industrial metals made gains, including aluminium,
which surged to a five-month peak, on prospects that U.S.
interest rates would not rise as soon as previously thought.
Three month nickel on the London Metal Exchange
(LME) reached a session high of $17,226 a tonne, its strongest
since March 15 last year, and closed up 2.3 percent at $17,080.
Prices have risen 23 percent so far this year, making nickel
the best performer in the base metals complex, supported by a
ban on shipments of unprocessed ore by top exporter Indonesia.
"We expect the market to be in a small surplus this year and
move into a significant deficit next year if Indonesia holds its
course," said Nic Brown, head of commodities research at
"But beyond that, in 2016 we are going to get more
processing plants up and running (in Indonesia), so the shortage
could be temporary."
A 25 percent rise in LME open interest in nickel suggests
long speculative positions have been added, while technical
buying and short-covering have also spurred price rises, analyst
Leon Westgate at Standard Bank said.
Seeking to reap more benefits from its mineral wealth by
pushing domestic processing, Indonesia in January banned exports
of nickel ore, which is used by stainless steel producers in
China as a cheaper alternative to refined nickel.
Reduced supply of nickel pig iron could mean that China
increases its use of the higher-grade refined metal,
underpinning global prices.
"We have seen very good nickel buying here today," said one
trader in Singapore. The trader said buying was coming from
China, while other funds, which had been long nickel, were
Base metals were supported by minutes of the Federal
Reserve's March meeting, which suggested U.S. policymakers would
be more cautious about raising interest rates than some analysts
The Fed minutes also dented the dollar, which fell to a
three-week low against a basket of currencies, further
supporting commodities priced in dollars, making them cheaper to
buy for consumers outside of the United States.
Sentiment also got a boost from data on Thursday showing
U.S. jobless claims fell to a seven-year low.
Aluminium was a top gainer, climbing to a high
of$1,895.75 a tonne, the strongest since Oct. 30 last year,
before paring gains to close at $1,893, a 1.93 percent rise.
"Dovish comments from the Fed, particularly in reference to
interest rates, should help support prices and premia in respect
to keeping the financing game ticking over," Westgate said in a
Copper prices closed up 0.57 percent at $6,655 a
tonne, bouncing off a two-week low hit in the previous session.
China's overall exports unexpectedly fell for a second
straight month in March, and import growth dropped sharply,
intensifying concerns about weak manufacturing and slowing
growth in the world's second-largest economy.
China's imports of copper, however, rose 10.8 percent in
March from February on expectations of increased seasonal demand
through the second quarter, although shipments were still well
off a record high hit in January.
"We think that in the second half of the year, there's going
to be less copper going into China and more copper coming out of
China," Brown said. "Chinese bonded warehouse stocks have pushed
up close to their recent highs. That means there is going to be
a limited amount of copper coming into the country in coming
Copper prices are down about 10 percent so far this year but
have recovered by around 5 percent from 3-1/2-year lows plumbed
on March 19.
Zinc ended 0.9 percent higher at $2,040 a tonne,
while lead finished up 1.1 percent at $2,112, and tin
edged up 0.62 percent to $23,400.
Three month LME copper
Most active ShFE copper
Three month LME aluminium
Most active ShFE aluminium
Three month LME zinc
Most active ShFE zinc
Three month LME lead
Most active ShFE lead
Three month LME nickel
Three month LME tin
(Additional reporting by Melanie Burton in Sydney; editing by
Keiron Henderson and Jane Baird)